Tua Tagovailoa
2025 Season Outlooks
Tagovailoa scored 20 or more points (6-point-per-passing-TD scoring) in six of the 10 games he started and finished, and he is a solid QB2 deserving of a late-round pick. Tagovailoa is somewhat unexciting but also underrated. He has been a top-16 quarterback per game in three consecutive seasons, finishing in the top five in passing yards per game each year. Unfortunately, his lack of rushing ability caps his upside. It's probably not realistic to expect him to finish much higher than 10th at the position, but he has a great chance to finish as a top-15 quarterback and be a streamer at worst. In the best-case scenario, Tagovailoa is a borderline must-start quarterback, and he can become that if he has more success throwing downfield. His pass attempts and pass efficiency on deep balls plummeted in 2024. If he can revive Tyreek Hill and hit more big plays, Fantasy managers could have a steal in the later rounds.
Tagovailoa returns as the starter in Miami. With the Dolphins seeing two-high safeties on a league-high 56% of pass plays, he went super-conservative, posting a league-low 5.7 aDOT and completing a league-best 73% of his passes. He had a midseason stretch of four straight top-10 fantasy outings, but otherwise had one weekly finish better than 17th (eighth in Week 1). During the 11 weeks he was active, Tagovailoa averaged 16.5 fantasy PPG (14th best). He remains a nonfactor with his legs (below 75 yards three straight seasons, with zero rush TDs during the span), which is why he's never finished a season better than 10th in fantasy PPG. A decent supporting cast led by Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and De'Von Achane keeps Tagovailoa in the weekly streaming mix, but he has a low ceiling due to the limited rushing output.
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings
Standard
#155
PPR
#156
Half-PPR
#153
Superflex
#64
2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections
| Pass Yds | Pass TD | Pass Int | Rush Yds | Rush TD | 4187.5 | 25.7 | 12.1 | 84.9 | 0.5 |
|---|
2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)
Standard
#154
Pick 13.10
PPR
#165
Pick 14.09
Half-PPR
#165
Pick 14.09
Superflex
#67
Pick 6.07
Strength of Schedule
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