Week 11 Start or Sit

Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025 at 8:33 pm ET

This is the Fantasy Nerd's look at the best and worst matchups for Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season. Analysis is aggregated from multiple sources including FN. Rankings are based upon PPR (point per reception) scoring. Given the known conditions, these matchups are the ones to watch and/or avoid.

Please Note: This list does not generally include the elite players that you are going to start regardless of matchup. You don't need us to tell you to start Lamar Jackson, Justin Jefferson, or Christian McCaffrey. Instead, we take a look at other players on your team that we believe either have great matchups or should be avoided for multiple reasons. Factors like opposing defense, performance trending, and peer comparisons may influence our decisions.

Start 'em Matthew Stafford (LAR, QB)
Matthew Stafford has been scorching hot, throwing 20 touchdowns with no interceptions over his last six games with the Rams, and against a Seahawks defense that grades out as roughly middle-of-the-pack vs. quarterbacks in 2025 he's a clear Week 11 start in all formats. He's been piling up fantasy production - at least 31.6 points in five of his past six outings (including three straight at home) - with the lone down game coming in Week 6 at Baltimore when Puka Nacua went down with an ankle injury. Seattle can be stingy, but several QBs have still topped 20 fantasy points there this season; while I don't expect a runaway performance, Stafford should finish as a top-10 fantasy QB this week and further his MVP case with a big showing.
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16th Fewest Pts to QB
Start 'em Dak Prescott (DAL, QB)
Despite two lackluster games before the Week 10 bye, Prescott has otherwise had a strong season - including four outings with three or more touchdown passes - making him an appealing Week 11 play against a Raiders defense that's only average versus fantasy quarterbacks. He tends to thrive in his first game back from a bye, averaging 26.8 fantasy points across eight such contests (with three performances of at least 31.3). After a combined 24.2-point slump versus Denver and Arizona, Prescott should bounce back Monday night in Las Vegas; five quarterbacks this year have topped 21.2 fantasy points against the Raiders, two of them in the last three games. I view Prescott as a top-five QB option in this matchup.
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13th Fewest Pts to QB
Start 'em Aaron Jones (MIN, RB)
Aaron Jones finally found the end zone in Week 10, finishing with nine carries for 47 yards and a rushing TD plus three catches for 22 yards on six targets (15.9 PPR). With Chicago yielding 4.9 yards per carry to running backs (fifth-most in the league), he projects as a strong play in Week 11. Jones already showed he handles the Bears well - in Week 1 at Chicago he had eight rushes for 23 yards and three receptions for 44 yards and a score - and he's averaged 18.1 PPR across his last 13 meetings with them. Given that Chicago has allowed seven different backs to exceed 13.1 PPR this season, Jones is a solid No. 2 fantasy option in all formats.
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11th Most Pts to RB
Start 'em TreVeyon Henderson (NE, RB)
With Rhamondre Stevenson sidelined by a toe injury the past two weeks, TreVeyon Henderson has taken over the Patriots' backfield and could keep it rolling in Week 11 against a Jets run defense allowing 4.2 yards per carry. Henderson posted 14 carries for 55 yards and four catches for 32 yards (six targets) in Week 9 for 12.7 PPR points, then broke out in Week 10 with 14 carries for 147 yards and two TDs plus a 3-yard catch. Given that New York has allowed seven different backs to score at least 13.9 PPR this season, Henderson profiles as an RB1 in all leagues for Week 11.
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15th Most Pts to RB
Start 'em Tez Johnson (TB, WR)
Tez Johnson has crossed the goal line four times in his last four games and should stay a central target for Tampa Bay while Mike Evans (collarbone) and Chris Godwin (leg) are out. He's delivered at least 15.8 PPR twice in his past three outings, totaling 20 targets and three touchdowns over that span despite not eclipsing five catches or 58 yards in any single game. With Buffalo ranking about average against wide receivers and having allowed two different pass-catchers to score in the same game three times this season, Week 11 could turn into a shootout that helps Johnson (and Emeka Egbuka). I like him as a No. 2 fantasy receiver in most leagues.
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12th Fewest Pts to WR
Start 'em DeVonta Smith (PHI, WR)
After hauling in four catches for 69 yards and the Eagles' only touchdown in Week 10, DeVonta Smith has emerged as Philadelphia's most reliable pass-catcher and presents a strong Week 11 option against a shaky Lions secondary. Even though A.J. Brown joked on a livestream that fantasy owners should drop him, Smith's production - at least 14.4 PPR points in three straight games and four of his last five - makes him the top Eagle receiver to target now and possibly for the remainder of the season. Given Detroit has allowed seven opponents to post 13.2+ PPR games, Smith projects as a safe No. 2 fantasy wideout in most formats.
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12th Most Pts to WR
Start 'em Cade Otton (TB, TE)
Cade Otton has hauled in at least four catches in each of his last five games and scored 10+ fantasy points in four of those outings (17.2 in last week's loss to New England). With five or more targets in four straight games and Chris Godwin out, he should keep seeing opportunities. Even though the Bills have been stingy to tight ends this year, Otton is still startable in Week 11.
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Feweset Pts to TE
Start 'em Kyle Pitts (ATL, TE)
Kyle Pitts has topped 39 receiving yards in just four games this year, but Week 11 brings a forgiving matchup: Carolina ranks sixth-worst in fantasy points allowed to tight ends in 2025. Even though Pitts Sr. hasn't reached 7.8 fantasy points in back-to-back weeks, his target volume keeps him viable in most leagues. With the Panthers having already allowed six different tight ends to finish with at least 9.9 points, Pitts represents a risky but reasonable start at a thin position.
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7th Most Pts to TE
Start 'em Houston Texans (HOU, DEF)
The Texans' defense draws a favorable matchup against Cam Ward and the struggling Titans this week. Tennessee has yielded more sacks than any team and has turned the ball over 13 times, while scoring a league-low 14.4 points and gaining just 244 net yards per game - conditions that point to a strong fantasy performance from Houston's defenders.
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Most pts to DEF
Start 'em Jake Bates (DET, K)
Jake Bates, who made six of seven kicks in Detroit's Week 10 win, looks likely to see plenty of work in Week 11 against Philadelphia. The Eagles' defense ranks fourth in the league in red-zone play, yet they've allowed 10 field goals and have given up about 8.2 fantasy points per game to kickers - nearly 11 points on the road - a split that helped Bates post 13 fantasy points vs. the Commanders. Given the matchup and the chance for a high-scoring game, he's a solid option to have in lineups.
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6th Most Pts to K
Sit 'em Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB)
Trevor Lawrence has managed multi-TD games only twice this season, and going up against a Chargers defense that has allowed just nine receiving touchdowns makes that unlikely in Week 11. After a down performance in Houston (11.8 fantasy points), another tough outing seems probable. Brian Thomas Jr. (ankle) is questionable, but even if he plays Lawrence will face a unit that ranks third-fewest in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks - with Daniel Jones the only QB to throw multiple TDs on them - so Lawrence is really only a start in Superflex or two-QB formats.
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3rd Fewest Pts to QB
Sit 'em Bo Nix (DEN, QB)
Bo Nix has been uneven lately - four touchdowns and four interceptions over his last three games - and he faces a tough Week 11 draw against Kansas City. On Thursday night vs. Las Vegas he was 16-of-28 for 150 yards with one TD, two INTs and minus-2 rushing yards, producing just 7.8 fantasy points and ending a three-game streak of 22.5+ scores. The Chiefs rank 10th-fewest in fantasy points allowed to QBs and have surrendered multiple passing TDs to only two quarterbacks, so despite a 20.1-point outing against KC last year, Nix is a risky start best limited to Superflex or two-QB leagues.
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7th Fewest Pts to QB
Sit 'em Rachaad White (TB, RB)
Rachaad White has been held under 40 rushing yards in each of Tampa Bay's last three games, but with Bucky Irving (foot/shoulder) expected to miss Week 11, both White and Sean Tucker should see larger roles against a Bills defense that's been vulnerable to fantasy RBs. If Irving were to return from his five-game absence, White would be a risky start in most leagues; if Irving remains sidelined, White is only a flex play (more useful in PPR). Tucker has looked more productive recently - 21 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown over the past two games versus White's 23 carries for 73 yards - while White has posted two of his last three outings at 8.4 PPR points or fewer, had five catches for just 16 yards in Week 10, and hasn't scored since Week 6.
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6th Most Pts to RB
Sit 'em Tony Pollard (TEN, RB)
Pollard hasn't topped 12 touches since Week 5 and looks set to continue splitting snaps with Tyjae Spears in Week 11 against a Texans run defense allowing just 3.7 yards per carry. He entered the Week 10 bye with only 14.1 PPR points across games vs. the Colts and Chargers while Spears totaled 26.4 PPR in the same span, so Spears is the preferable start if forced to choose. With Houston ranking among the stingiest defenses against running backs (No. 10 in fewest fantasy points allowed), the safest move is to sit both. Pollard's only meeting with the Texans this year came in Week 4 - when Spears was out - and he managed 14 carries for 64 yards plus 3 catches for 12 yards (10.6 PPR); that's about the best-case scenario, making him at best a flex play in most leagues.
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10th Fewest Pts to RB
Sit 'em D.J. Moore (CHI, WR)
Moore went catchless in Week 10 after stringing together at least three receptions in every Bears game before that, and he draws a favorable Week 11 matchup against a Vikings secondary that allows 9.3 yards per target to receivers. His Week 9 stat line - four catches for 72 yards plus a rushing TD and a completed pass - was atypical, and he's scored 9.6 PPR points or fewer in six games this year. He had three catches for 68 yards on five targets in Week 1 vs. Minnesota and was targeted four times with no catches in Week 10 vs. the Giants. With a shoulder issue to monitor, treat Moore as a deep, three‑WR league option for the rematch.
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7th Fewest Pts to WR
Sit 'em Deebo Samuel (WAS, WR)
Deebo Samuel will be Washington's primary target in Week 11 in Madrid, but he's a shaky fantasy option: he hasn't topped 50 receiving yards since Week 5 and had just four catches for 29 yards on five targets in Week 10. In four starts with Marcus Mariota he's recorded three games under 30 yards, and he now faces a Dolphins secondary that ranks fifth-fewest in fantasy points allowed to receivers and has surrendered only two receiver touchdowns in the last four games. If he doesn't score, Samuel could finish with little production, so he's only viable in deeper (three-WR) leagues this week.
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2nd Fewest Pts to WR
Sit 'em Evan Engram (DEN, TE)
Evan Engram has just two receptions on eight targets over the past two games and looks unlikely to be reliable in Week 11, given the Broncos' sputtering offense and a stout Chiefs defense. He's underperformed in his first season in Denver, failing to score double digits in eight of nine outings and compiling only 3.2 fantasy points the last two weeks. I'd sit him this week - Kansas City has held nearly every opposing tight end to 10 points or fewer this season.
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7th Fewest Pts to TE
Sit 'em T.J. Hockenson (MIN, TE)
Despite a tough recent stretch - held to two catches and under 30 yards in each of Minnesota's last three games - T.J. Hockenson could see his numbers improve in Week 11 against a Chicago defense that allows 60.7 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends. On paper it's a favorable matchup, but his recent usage is troubling: he's finished with single-digit fantasy points five times in his last six outings and has averaged under four targets when J.J. McCarthy starts. Given that lack of volume, it's hard to feel confident starting Hockenson even this week.
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8th Most Pts to TE
Sit 'em Philadelphia Eagles (PHI, DEF)
The Eagles often defend effectively in Philadelphia, but this pairing against Detroit reads poorly. The Lions are averaging 31.4 points and 372.4 yards per game, have surrendered only six giveaways all season, and allowed just 18 sacks - making Philly's defense a matchup to avoid this week.
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Feweset Pts to DEF
Sit 'em Jake Elliott (PHI, K)
Jake Elliott hit a crucial kick in Week 10, but he hasn't made more than one field goal in a game since Week 2, which caps his fantasy upside for Week 11 against Detroit. His name carries weight, but the production hasn't - he's only topped double digits once and been held to six points or fewer in four games. I'd bench him this week, as the Lions have allowed just six field goals and only about 6.6 fantasy points per game to home kickers.
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4th Fewest Pts to K

Join the Discussion

Broncosfanz CommentedNov 15, 2025 7:53 am

Way to write about TreVeyon Henderson AFTER he already scored three times.

Jane22 CommentedNov 15, 2025 9:55 am

Look at the top. This was published on Wednesday night. Henderson played on Thursday.

Broncosfanz CommentedNov 15, 2025 10:57 am

I didn't even notice that. My bad. Good call on Henderson.

jamisdiablo CommentedNov 16, 2025 9:41 am

mahomes or goff this week? who’s got the better matchup? PPR, rice or egbuka? or sit jefferson for either of them?

Nerd CommentedNov 16, 2025 10:00 am

For me, it's Mahomes over Goff and Rice and Jefferson. Good luck!


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