This week's report takes a closer look at how our projections for Week 2 stacked up against actual performance on the field - spotlighting the calls we nailed, the players who exceeded expectations, and the disappointments who fell short. By examining both the hits and the misses, we gain valuable insight into how players are performing. While recognizing that it's nearly impossible to perfectly project every player's performance, we're not shy about showing you every miss and hit.
Spot On
Several players ended the week very close to where they were projected to. Harrison Butker did exactly what was expected in Week 2, delivering a predictable kicking line that gave fantasy managers the projected floor and no surprises.
Tee Higgins - Projected 13.10, Actual 13.10: Higgins matched his projection perfectly, turning in a dependable WR performance that provided solid, forecasted production for teams counting on him.
Dylan Sampson - Projected 9.40, Actual 9.40: Sampson hit his projection spot-on, offering steady, forecasted fantasy value and helping managers who started him get the expected contribution.
Over Performed
Quite a few players exceeded their expectations this week helping fantasy managers to a win.
Amon-Ra St. Brown - projected 13.60, scored 34.70
St. Brown crushed his projection, finishing as one of the top-scoring WRs of the week. A 34.7-point line implies a big target share, sizable yardage and at least one touchdown, turning him into a must-start after Week 2 and a weekly WR1-caliber contributor for fantasy owners.
Rome Odunze - projected 10.10, scored 28.30
Odunze delivered a breakout-type performance, nearly tripling his projection. That 28.3 fantasy output signals he was heavily involved in the passing game and has become Caleb Williams' favorite target - enough to vault him into startable territory in most formats moving forward.
Malik Nabers - projected 15.10, scored 33.20
Nabers more than doubled expectations with a huge fantasy day. A 33.2 point performance included big-yardage plays and scoring (especially in the last few moments of the game), marking him as a top-week option and a high-upside WR to trust in future lineups.
Bottom line: all three massively outperformed expectations in Week 2 - owners who started them benefited handsomely, and each player's Week 2 form makes a strong case to remain in starting lineups going forward.
Under Performed
Unfortunately, not everyone lived up to their expectations. Derrick Henry - Projected 17.80, Scored 2.30 (‑15.50, down ~87% of projection)
A massive letdown for fantasy managers who started Henry. He finished with just 2.3 fantasy points - only about 13% of his projection - turning what was expected to be a workhorse RB outing into a near-zero week. That kind of shortfall likely wrecked many lineups that depended on heavy RB production.
J.J. McCarthy - Projected 16.90, Scored 2.82 (‑14.08, down ~83% of projection)
McCarthy was another big bust in Week 2, delivering only 2.82 points (roughly 17% of projection). He struggled this week with turnovers/game script - a disastrous performance for anyone rostering him as a starter.
Justin Fields - Projected 17.80, Scored 3.98 (‑13.82, down ~78% of projection)
Fields also fell well short of expectations, producing just under 4 fantasy points (about 22% of his projection). Like the other two, this was a painful week for fantasy teams that relied on him to meet QB scoring expectations.
Bottom line: Week 2 produced brutal underperformers across skill positions - all three players were major fantasy busts relative to their projections.
