I know many of you are reviewing your pre-draft rankings and still evaluating your ADPs for your upcoming drafts. I'm here to lend a hand for those of us that have dynasty and devy drafts shortly after the NFL draft. Let's get to it!
My first rule of advice is to do your research on more than just the top 10-12 guys in each position. In the past couple years, we've seen some pretty big busts, or players that are on the roll to becoming a bust. For example in terms of Wide Receivers (WR), a few individuals that come to mind are: Jalen Reagor ('20 1st rounder and 4th WR off the board), Laviska Shenault ('20 2nd round; 9th WR taken) Kadarius Toney ('21 1st round; 4th WR taken) and Tutu Atwell ('21 2nd round; 9th WR taken). While these individuals are extremely talented, looking at the teams that drafted them with their schemes, current starters and depth chats we could see these indivduals weren't set up for success nor could their previous college stats translate to an already struggling team. Expanding your horizon to guys you've reviewed and like on tape could help you find your next James Robinson or Khalil Herbert.
That said, that recipe isn't always true, especially when it comes to QBs since, typically, only the top guys in the draft will get the priority of starting positions. In the last two drafts all QBs drafted in the 1st round have had or gotten an opportunity to start (min. 1) for their respective teams. Outside of the 1st round there's been 14 other QBs that were drafted in 2nd or later, only 6 of those players have had the opportunity to start: Jalen Hurts, Tyler Huntley, Davis Mills, Ian Book, Jake Luton and Ben DiNucci. While you can certainly hit on a later round QB, this will definitely be few and far between statistically speaking. Perhaps with these numbers can be changed and altered with most recently, early 1st round favorites in: Malik Willis, Desmond Ridder and Matt Corrall being drafted much later than expected.
Finally, we inspect the TE landscape for those that participate in Tight End Premium (TEP) leagues. TEP leagues provide, typically, a half point more per reception when a TE makes a reception. In these leagues, Kyle Pitts is likely going to be 1st round pick or early 2nd; this is based on his age, system scheme, overall playmaking ability and physical gifts he brings to the game. If you're not completely sold on making Pitts your first round pick, you can never go wrong waiting a few rounds and taking guys such as: Pat Friermuth, Dalton Schultz, TJ Hockenson, Albert Okwuegbunam or Cole Kmet in much later rounds. Each TE offers a sizable upside, while they may not all see tons of targets, they are certainly going to be looked at in goalline situations and can be scoring machines.
There's tons of things to consider when you're preparing for a Dynasty draft. It is important to go and get your guys, especially when you're looking to build the foundation of your team and your potential state of contention: contending, buying, selling or "tanking" be sure that you continue to plan for the long haul and not focus on a single year. While one championship is awesome, maintaining an ever competitive team that can threaten to win championships for years to come should be your ultimate goal.
Signing off for now!
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