My RB1 for the 2021 NFL fantasy football season is the RB20 in full PPR leagues. It has been very underwhelming for the JT shareholders this season and in dynasty leagues. All this means is that this is a perfect time to try and trade for JT. He is still the RB1 for dynasty. Although, the production has been subpar for being at worst a second-round pick in redraft leagues, the potential with JT has never left.
Last season, JT started off slow and was figuring out his way into the NFL. Splitting carries with Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins, he was not producing how much of us expected him to. Some guys are better second half of the season players and that has been proven. JT went on a frenzy of dominance that ended him as RB4 after the 2020 season. I expect the same again this season. JT sits at the back end of all running backs when it comes to rushes inside the red zone and has only one lonely touchdown this year. Inside the five, JT sits at number 55, inside the 10 he sits at number 52, inside the 15 at number 50, and inside the 20 at number 46.
Carson Wentz will figure it out, Quentin Nelson will be back from injury and the Colts won't be playing from behind. This isn't a "Jonathan Taylor is the problem" situation. This is the "team around him" situation. Being where he was drafted, I would look to move JT for a RB2, and if you want JT, it will not take as much as you think. Jonathan Taylor is at his floor right now and the time is now to make a trade before last season happens again.
Ole Miss receivers are different and we saw that last season with DK Metcalf and his former college teammate, AJ Brown. AJ Brown received surgery on both of his knees this past off-season. Knee problems and athletes do not get along and they give me all the bad vibes you can get. What I do know is that AJ Brown, being where he was drafted this season, has not performed up to standards.
AJ Brown sits at WR77 this fantasy football season and has missed two games this year. The good news is that he was reported to be healthy and will be playing in week five. Being in such a run-heavy offense, AJ Brown is someone you can snag at a discount because of the lingering knee problems. This is a WR2 every week and with Julio Jones still being listed as OUT, Brown is a sure-fire WR1.
Brown is a touchdown machine with 11 touchdowns on the year last season and with his explosiveness along with his strength, he is a nightmare matchup for corners around the league. No Julio for the time being, and the man before him, Corey Davis is no longer there. AJ Brown szn has arrived. Look for desperate fantasy managers who need help at WR - or if you need help, Brown is a perfect buy-low target. I ended up trading AJ Brown and Darren Waller for Aaron Jones and TJ Hockenson.
He is one of the best players fantasy football has ever seen - a man capable of rushing for over 800 rushing yards along with over 80 catches. Alvin Kamara is one of THE RB1s in fantasy football, but this season has been weird. Mostly because Drew Brees is no longer there, so the offense was completely revamped. AK sits as the RB13 through four weeks and I know his fantasy managers are conflicted on how to feel. AK has seen four straight seasons of over 80 catches, but through four weeks this season, he has only seen 10.
This can be a bittersweet feeling. Yes, AK for the first time in his career did not see a single target in the passing game in week four, but he did see a career-high in carries with 26 as he piled up 120 rushing yards. Drafting AK, we expect a CMC type of workload, so you are not wrong to feel a little down on your first-round pick. AK is still the focal point of the Saints offense, but expectations should be lowered just a tad. AK is someone I will still try to target as his price should not be at his ceiling. I would target players such as Aaron Jones, Najee Harris, and even someone like Saquon Barkley who is seeing pass volume and is the key piece in the Giants offense.
Remember, it has been four weeks. There is no need to hit the panic button all the way but there is some need to worry. Look at your team's schedule for the playoffs, target guys who are underperforming, and make a move. There is a high chance for those players to start performing well in the second half of the season, the most important time in fantasy football.