When Tyreek Hill is on his game, he's a top-five Fantasy receiver with potential to be the studliest stud in the game. After what he did last year (21.1 PPR points per game), you already knew that. But when the speedster was banged up in 2019, he wasn't quite as good as his annual draft status would suggest (15.2 PPR points per game). The truth is that Hill is the most explosive receiver in the NFL thanks to his break-neck speed and his quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. So long as he's healthy, Hill will give your Fantasy team a real shot to win every week. A schedule that includes suspect secondaries in L.A., Las Vegas, New York, Philadelphia, Tennessee, Dallas and Cincinnati only makes his case stronger. That's why you'll consider him with a top-15 overall pick in every single draft you're in. Don't be shy to take him ahead of every other wideout in non-PPR formats, and pretty much every receiver except for Davante Adams in PPR.
Hill is coming off a WR2 finish across fantasy scoring formats and has been a top-12 WR for 4 straight seasons now. He’s still just 27 and returns to the same offense with the same (elite) QB in 2021. Hill is even a threat to set a new career high in targets this season with Kansas City’s WR depth looking weak.
Hill is 1 of the safer picks in fantasy football and worth considering anywhere in the back half of Round 1.
Hill's game is that of a big-play machine, which sometimes means boom/bust production, but he's been more consistent than you probably realize. His target shares during active weeks have been between 22% and 24% and his air-yard shares between 36% and 39% each of the past four seasons. He finished as a top-10 fantasy WR in 40% of his games last season (third best) and was worse than 30th only 20% of the time (second best). Hill continues to break math as it pertains to TDs (53 career offensive TDs, 31.4 OTD) and efficiency (career 2.5 YPRR), but the speedy, explosive and heavily utilized 27-year-old has shown no sign of slowing down. Last season's No. 2-scoring fantasy WR has a legitimate shot to take the top spot away from Adams in 2021.
One of the most electrifying playmakers in the league, Tyreek Hill is capable of winning fantasy games almost single-handedly. In the three seasons that Patrick Mahomes has been the Chiefs' starting quarterback, Hill has averaged 84.1 receiving yards and 0.86 touchdowns per regular-season game. He's had nine multiple-touchdown games over that stretch and has cleared the 100-yard mark 11 times, including a 269-yard, three-TD game against the Buccaneers last November. Hill even adds some value as a runner, with 623 rushing yards over his five NFL seasons. Hill is among the fastest players in the league, but his game is about more than just speed. Despite measuring 5-10 and 185 pounds, he excels at making contested catches, and his ball-tracking ability is uncanny. Hill averaged a career-high 9.0 targets per game last season, and none of the Chiefs' offseason additions figure to put a dent in Hill's target share. There's a strong case to be made that Hill should be the WR1 in fantasy drafts this year regardless of scoring format.