Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

TE - BUF
Height:
Weight: lbs
Age: --
College: Utah
Buffalo Bills

2025 Season Outlooks

After wearing the "bust" label in 2024, Dalton Kincaid could be primed for a bounce-back season in 2025 and should be drafted as a low-end TE1 or a high-end backup tight end. Kincaid was not even a top-20 tight end last season, but he played through two knee injuries including a partially torn PCL. He also had the second-highest target per route run rate among tight ends (minimum 50 targets) behind only Trey McBride. He averaged the 10th-most yards per route run at the position. Unfortunately, Kincaid simply was not on the field enough and did not run enough routes to take advantage of his high efficiency. Kincaid never played more than 51% of the snaps after returning from a Week 10 injury but was actually on pace for 102 targets in his first nine games pre-injury. Considering Buffalo has not upgraded its receiving corps, Kincaid has sleeper appeal and should not cost much on draft day.

Kincaid failed to clear 13.1 fantasy points in a single game last season, which is pretty hard to believe when you consider he handled a 20.3% target share (5.8 per game) in a Josh Allen-led offense that averaged 3.6 touchdowns per game (the highest ever by an Allen offense). Kincaid got seven-plus targets in six of 13 regular-season games, but never cleared 53 yards in a single outing and found the end zone only twice. He finished 15th at tight end in targets despite four missed games, but was 26th in catches and 28th in yards thanks to an ugly 59% catch rate and 6.0 YPT. Kincaid's pedigree (2023 first-rounder), heavy usage and the strong Buffalo offense provide hope for a Year 3 leap, but he's risky after such an underwhelming 2024. Consider him a fringe TE1.

2025 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#109

PPR

#113

Half-PPR

#102

Superflex

#126

2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Rush Yds Rush TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
61.7 643.8 3.8

2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#121

Pick 11.01

PPR

#129

Pick 11.09

Half-PPR

#126

Pick 11.06

Superflex

#150

Pick 13.06

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
High

Depth Chart

Strength of Schedule

Easy Season Ahead
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Fantasy Playoffs
15
16
17
18