Jahmyr Gibbs
2025 Season Outlooks
Gibbs is a top-five RB and surefire first-round pick in all one-QB formats. How high you take him in Round 1 depends on how concerned you are about Ben Johnson's departure and his potential regression from his remarkable 2024 season. In his second season, Gibbs improved across the board, seeing two more touches per game and somehow increasing his yards per carry (5.6), touchdown rate (6.6%) and yards per target (8.2). All three of those efficiency marks are elite, but also high enough that for 99% of RBs you would expect some regression. That potential regression could be amplified by the loss of Johnson. Last year the Lions finished first in points scored and second in yards gained. Offensive coordinator John Morton will try to keep that going, but again you shouldn't be surprised if the offense takes a step back, particularly in the areas of scoring. It is always at least a little concerning when a first-time offensive coordinator takes over an elite offense -- a great example is the 2023 Philadelphia Eagles.
The reigning No. 1 fantasy RB, Gibbs scored a position-high 20 TDs while dominating as both a rusher (fifth in yards) and receiver (top six in targets, catches and yards) last season. The with/without David Montgomery splits are notable here, however, as Gibbs averaged 16.3 touches and 18.2 fantasy points per game (sixth best) in 13 games with a healthy Montgomery, but 22.5 touches and 31.5 points per game (first) without. Montgomery is back, so Gibbs' touch ceiling may be slightly lower than a few other top backs, but with his skill set and Detroit's high-powered offense, he's undoubtedly a strong fantasy RB1. The 23-year-old should be one of the first players off the board on draft day.
Gibbs averaged 5.5 yards per attempt and 0.06 touchdowns per attempt over the last two seasons, ranking second-best among running backs. This has led to 0.9 fantasy points per attempt, which is the best for running backs.
He averaged 24.2 touches per game without Montgomery over the last four games of last season, compared to 16 touches with him. He also scored more touchdowns, leading to a ridiculous 33.3 fantasy points per game.
The Lions' offensive line ranked second-best in terms of run block grade last season. They have the highest-graded run blocking right tackle of the last three seasons in Penei Swell, and the second-highest graded run blocking center in Frank Ragnow.
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings
Standard
#4
PPR
#5
Half-PPR
#4
Superflex
#9
2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections
| Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | 1192.2 | 11.3 | 51.7 | 468.8 | 2.7 |
|---|
2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)
Standard
#4
Pick 1.04
PPR
#5
Pick 1.05
Half-PPR
#5
Pick 1.05
Superflex
#9
Pick 1.09
Strength of Schedule
| 1 |  |
|
| 2 |  |
|
| 3 |  |
|
| 4 |  |
|
| 5 |  |
|
| 6 |  |
|
| 7 |  |
|
| 9 |  |
|
| 10 |  |
|
| 11 |  |
|
| 12 |  |
|
| 13 | |
|
| 14 |  |
|
| Fantasy Playoffs | ||
| 15 |  |
|
| 16 |  |
|
| 17 | |
|
| 18 | |
|