The Buccaneers did just about everything they could this offseason to give White an opportunity to shine. They cut Leonard Fournette and ignored the running back position in the NFL Draft. Now White will have to prove that he's worth featuring in the offense. As a rookie, White saw his role flourish after Week 10 and he finished as the RB26 from then on. A big component to White's success were his 50 receptions - top 12 at the RB position -- despite his limited workload early in the season. No matter who wins the job at QB, White won't see near the same passing volume as he did with Tom Brady. White struggled with efficiency metrics as a runner, but that was at least in part due to a Buccaneers offensive line that was crumpled with injuries. If you want to gamble on White's talent and potential role, you'll have to do so in Round 6.
White comes off a disappointing rookie year and will start in a bad offense.
But he could be in line for one of the largest opportunity shares in the league.
That alone makes the former third-round pick a solid selection as a PPR RB2.
What We Learned Last YearWhite played significantly fewer snaps than Leonard Fournette last year. Despite appearing in one more game, White played just 38.6% of snaps for the season vs. 56.7% for Fournette.The rookie did see a significant playing-time bump from Week 10 on.Through the first nine games, he reached 40% snap share just once and fell short of 30% five times.White averaged just 4.2 carries and 2.8 targets per game over that span. He averaged 3.1 yards per carry and 6.75 yards per catch.Week 10 saw a season-high 22 carries (for 105 yards) in a game Leonard Fournette left early.Fournette would miss the ensuing game and Week 18.White played his two largest snap shares of the season in Week 10 (64%) and Week 12 (90%, with Fournette out). He also barely played in the Week 18 game Tampa didn’t need.In between, he cracked 40% playing time in three of five games, including two at 50+%.Even with Fournette back over those five games, White climbed to 10.2 carries and 4.8 targets per game.Just like Fournette, though, White didn’t perform very well when he got the ball. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last season, White ranked:46th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade41st in elusive rating45th in rush yards over expected per attempt
What to Expect in 2023White could be in line for large workloads. The team released Fournette in March and has added only Chase Edmonds to the backfield.Edmonds played so well in 2022 that the Dolphins traded him less than halfway through a two-year deal. And then the Broncos dumped him after the season.Even though we don’t expect the Buccaneers to be good, they should run the ball at a higher rate than the past two years. They finished each season last in run rate, rushing on less than 34% of plays each time.With Baker Mayfield battling Kyle Trask to take over for Tom Brady, the offense certainly shouldn’t be leaning pass nearly so much.Besides Edmonds, Tampa Bay sports only Ke’Shawn Vaughn, Patrick Laird, and undrafted rookies Sean Tucker and Ronnie Brown (not that one) at the position.The O-line gets C Ryan Jensen back after he lost almost all of last season to a knee injury. Second-year G Luke Goedeke is expected to slide out to RT to replace Donovan Smith. Second-round rookie G Cody Mauch is expected to start right away. The team signed G Matt Feiler to a small one-year contract and expects to start him as well.This unit will need to improve significantly over last year’s, which ranked 28th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards, a measure of how much rushing yardage the blocking accounted for.
White is atop the depth chart in Tampa Bay following the offseason release of Leonard Fournette. We got one look at White as a feature back last season, a Week 12 game against Cleveland in which he played 91% of the snaps. The 2022 third-round pick produced 64 yards on 14 carries and caught all nine of his targets for 45 yards. White ended up 11th among RBs in receptions as a rookie and, with only Chase Edmonds as serious competition for touches, the second-year back is well positioned for a much larger role. Even in an offense that may struggle without Tom Brady, White is one of the top RB breakout candidates in fantasy this season.