Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB - NE
Height:
Weight: lbs
Age: --
College: Oklahoma
New England Patriots

2023 Season Outlooks

Stevenson had a breakout season in 2022, but his chances of truly hitting his ceiling took a hit when the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott in mid-August. Stevenson should be drafted as a No. 2 option in all formats with a Round 4 pick in PPR and a Round 5 pick in non-PPR. It's not that Elliott is still a great running back, it's more like Elliott might take just enough carries and just enough touchdowns away from Stevenson to limit his Fantasy upside. It should be mentioned that Stevenson averaged 12.5 PPR points per game in eight games when Damien Harris had at least 10 touches in 2022. Fantasy managers might expect Stevenson to outproduce that average this year with Elliott -- some consistency with his targets would be huge -- but not hit 15 PPR points per game unless Elliott were to miss some time.

Stevenson smashed his mid-round ADP last year, showing high-end efficiency despite a boosted workload.
Even with New England adding Zeke Elliott, we’re likely to see Stevenson handle another clear lead role. And with an early ADP in Round 3/4, the 25-year-old is coming at an attractive price.
What We Learned Last YearStevenson broke out in 2022 with 1,461 total yards (17 games).He finished as a top-12 fantasy RB seven times; top-24 11 times. Overall, he ranked as the PPR RB8.Stevenson handled a strong 59% carry share. Damien Harris missed five games with injuries.Among 33 RBs with 150+ carries, Stevenson ranked first in yards after contact per attempt, fourth in yards per carry, fifth in breakaway percentage, and fifth in Elusive Rating.New England ranked last in ESPN’s Run Block Win Rate (68%), a nod to Stevenson's ability to gain yards on his own.He recorded four fumbles – each from Week 13 on.The 25-year-old stood out as a pass catcher. Among RBs, he ranked top-seven in targets (88), catches (69), and receiving yards (421).Only Christian McCaffrey, Austin Ekeler, and Aaron Jones saw more screen passes. Stevenson stepped up for an offense lacking depth at WR/TE and wound up ranking second on New England in targets.What to Expect in 2023Damien Harris signed with Buffalo in the offseason. His absence takes away 106 carries.Zeke Elliott joined in mid-August. But he earned less than $700K in guaranteed money. The former Cowboy projects as a nuisance near the goal line, though. Pierre Strong, Ty Montgomery, and Kevin Harris return to compete for depth roles.Montgomery was hyped up by former Pats RB coach Ivan Fears in May. “I think he has a great chance to be the third-down back and take some of the load off Rhamondre. So [Rhamondre] can be fresh when we really need him on first and second down carrying the ball as the featured guy. We need some help for Rhamondre, and I think Ty is looking really good right now. He’s healthy.”Montgomery, 30, missed almost all of last year with a shoulder injury. Durability is a concern for the former Packer.Talent-wise, Strong looks like the best bet to eat into Stevenson’s workload. Still, he handled only 10 carries (plus seven targets) as a Round 4 rookie. And he's run behind Kevin Harris at training camp.The Pats will largely run it back with the same O-line, only dropping in veteran RT Riley Reiff.OC Bill O’Brien arrives following a year in which defensive-minded coach Matt Patricia called offensive plays. Look for a more modern NFL offense to show up after players (and observers) openly credited this unit in 2022.That should mean more scoring opportunities for Stevenson. New England ranked 28th in red zone plays per game last year. 19 RBs saw more red zone carries.We expect better play from Mac Jones in year three, partly because of a pass-catching corps that looks improved (albeit marginally).

After playing a situational role as a rookie back in 2021, Stevenson took control of New England's feature back gig in his second season. The former fourth-round pick finished no lower than 10th among backs in touches (279), yards (1,461) and fantasy points, with his passing-game chops the primary driver of success (his 89 targets and 69 catches were both top five among RBs). Stevenson hasn't seen much work near the goal line, but he was unlucky in the TD department last season (six TDs, 8.0 expected). Ex-running mate Damien Harris was replaced by Ezekiel Elliott, who figures to be more of a complement than he will be a serious threat to Stevenson's workload. Perhaps new playcaller Bill O'Brien will lean more on a committee attack, but 25-year-old Stevenson's floor should be that of a mid-range RB2.

2023 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#30

PPR

#28

Half-PPR

#27

Superflex

#38

2023 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Rush Yds Rush TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
940.8 6.0 52.2 353.1 1.4

2023 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#27

Pick 3.03

PPR

#26

Pick 3.02

Half-PPR

#28

Pick 3.04

Superflex

#41

Pick 4.05

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
High

Depth Chart

Depth Chart Not Available

Strength of Schedule

Average/Easy Season Ahead
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Fantasy Playoffs
15
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