Davis projects as a near full-time player alongside Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Buffalo added several pieces this offseason, but they don’t bring Davis’ combo of size and skill.
We saw the 23-year-old’s upside down the stretch last year. There’s a WR2 ceiling here, and while we wouldn’t go overweight, his Round 8 ADP is an acceptable range to mix in some best ball exposure.
The Bills selected Davis with a fourth-round pick in 2020 and, while the UCF product has primarily been utilized in a situational role, he's certainly made some noise. Davis averaged 3.9 targets per game during his first 32 games, but found the end zone 13 times and ranked fifth in average depth of target and 11th in yards per target during the span. Despite managing only 35 touches in 2021, he tied for eighth in the league in end zone targets. With Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley gone, Davis is primed for a much larger role in Buffalo's pass-heavy/high-scoring offense in 2022. There's some risk here considering Davis has yet to produce a top-55 fantasy campaign, but he's on a strikingly similar trajectory to Chris Godwin and is a major Year-3 breakout candidate. He's worth a look as a WR3/flex.
Davis has been consistent during his first two years in the NFL, catching the same number of balls (35) off of nearly the same amount of targets (62 in 2020 and 63 in 2021) for almost the same yardage total (599 in 2020 and 549 in 2021) and touchdown totals (7 in 2020 and 6 in 2021). He's missed games both seasons, but that hasn't really slowed him down a ton. With Stefon Diggs around, Davis has been able to find room to make catches and should see similar numbers this year. The addition of Jamison Crowder in the slot shouldn't hurt Davis too much either. The consistency is good, but his overall ceiling seems to be relatively low. You can count on him to produce his numbers, but those numbers make him no more than a depth addition to most fantasy squads.