Hurts should be considered one of the best Fantasy quarterbacks this season, and he's worth drafting as a top-three player at his position, along with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. In one-quarterback leagues, Hurts is worth drafting as early as Round 2. In Superflex and two-quarterback leagues, Hurts is a first-round pick. He had a magical season in 2022 as he helped the Eagles reach the Super Bowl. During the regular season, Hurts averaged 28.1 Fantasy points per game, and he has the potential to be the No. 1 overall quarterback this year. His weapons are among the best in the NFL with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert, and Hurts is among the best running quarterbacks in the league as well, with consecutive seasons of at least 760 rushing yards and 10 rushing touchdowns. The only concern for Hurts is an injury, and he missed two games last season with a shoulder problem, but hopefully he can play all 17 games in 2023 and have another outstanding campaign.
Hurts displayed a high weekly ceiling in 2022. A shoulder injury slowed him late in the year and into the postseason, but he’s back healthy for Year 4, fresh off signing a massive extension.
The return of A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert supply Hurts with perhaps the league’s best trio of pass-catchers.
With an ADP around the turn from Round 2 to Round 3, Hurts isn’t a bargain. But he’ll be worth considering in plenty of formats.
What We Learned Last YearHurts’ breakout season included the QB3 finish in total fantasy points and points per game.He finished worse than QB14 only onceHe finished as a top-5 QB in 11 of 15 games.Hurts’ worst game (by far) was QB23 vs. the Giants – his return from a Week 15 S/C joint separation (right shoulder).Hurts played through the injury in the postseason, but he’s back to 100% for the offseason. He avoided surgery.Hurts led the league with 13 QB rushing scores. Nine(!) of them came inside the 5-yard line.Among 31 QBs with 300+ dropbacks, Hurts ranked:tied for fourth in yards per attemptseventh in adjusted completion rateninth in average depth of targetfourth in Pro Football Focus passing grade.Good health from WRs DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown provided a lift. Both guys played all 17 games.TE Dallas Goedert missed five games with a shoulder injury.The Eagles’ O-line ranked fifth in Pro Football Focus pass blocking grade; 12th in pass block win rate.
What to Expect in 2023
Hurts signed a five-year extension in April with nearly $180 million guaranteed.Of note, the Eagles lost RB Miles Sanders, G Isaac Seumalo, and OC Shane Steichen this offseason.This backfield looks deeper with the arrivals of early-down back Rashaad Penny and receiving back D’Andre Swift. Hurts will remain a prominent figure near the goal line.Philly's O-line remains strong with LT Jordan Mailata, LG Landon Dickerson, C Jason Kelce, and RT Lane Johnson. We'll see if rookie Tyler Steen -- or second-year man Cam Jurgens -- wins the RG job.Brian Johnson takes over as Philly’s OC and likely play caller. Johnson hasn’t called plays at the NFL level, but we’re expecting this unit to mirror its 2022 version.Johnson, who Hurts has known since childhood, was Philly’s QBs coach the past two years.Hurts had February surgery to remove hardware from his ankle. The injury originally occurred in 2018 at Alabama. The procedure was considered minor and won’t impact Hurts’ status this summer.ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reported in June that the Eagles believe Hurts "can make another major jump" as an "elite precision-type pocket passer." They backed up that belief by handing him a mega-extension.
Hurts returns for his third season as the Eagles' starting QB after a breakout 2022 campaign in which he was in the MVP conversation and led his team to an NFC title. Hurts actually paced all QBs in fantasy points per game (25.2) and was a top-six scorer at the position in eight consecutive weeks. The 25-year-old led all QBs in carries (165) and rush TDs (13), and his heavy goal line role allowed 20 carries inside the opponent's 5-yard line, which ranked second in the entire league. Hurts is set up for success again in 2023, with an elite offensive line and a terrific group of targets led by A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. Hurts is, at worst, a top-three fantasy option at the position.