Dawson Knox has the chance to be the starting tight end for the Bills this season, but he has minimal Fantasy value in that role. He's not worth drafting in most leagues. In 2020, Knox had just two games with more than eight PPR points. Since Buffalo has a lot of mouths to feed in the passing game, it's unlikely Knox sees the type of targets to make him an impact Fantasy option. At best, he could be a waiver wire addition in deeper formats if he starts off the season playing better than we expect.
:Knox, 24, enters a make-or-break 3rd season. He looks the part of a receiving TE at 6’4, 254 pounds with impressive length and athleticism. But drops and inconsistent play have limited his opportunities.So too has a loaded Bills offense. With Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley and Gabriel Davis under contract, expect more up and down play from Knox. There’s also a possibility the Bills add a TE upgrade prior to Week 1.
Buffalo's offense exploded into a pass-heavy, high-scoring juggernaut in 2020, but Knox was one of the few players who failed to benefit. The 2019 third-round pick was on the field for 60% of the snaps during 15 active weeks (including three playoff games), but was limited to 3.7 targets per game. Knox's usage did increase down the stretch, but he still failed to post a weekly fantasy finish better than 10th (his best-career fantasy week was seventh in Week 3 of 2019). In Knox's defense, a TE-high 33% of balls thrown his way were off target and his 6.8 RAC was second-best at the position. A leap to the TE1 mix seems unlikely, but the 24-year-old is worth monitoring as a deep sleeper.
The Bills have never really utilized their tight ends very much, and Dawson's numbers suffer from it. Over the last two seasons, he has been targeted just 93 times and caught just 52 passes. He also missed several games last season due to injury. Dawson might work as an occasional spot start or emergency option but no more.