Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox

TE - BUF
Height: 6-4
Weight: 254 lbs
Age: 25
College: Mississippi
Buffalo Bills

2022 Season Outlooks

Knox was known for 2 things prior to 2021: Injuries and drops. While he missed a pair of games with a broken hand — and still posted a drop rate of 9.2% — fantasy owners could forgive the young TE because of his 9 scores. Finally, the athletic, former Round 3 pick delivered alongside 1 of the game’s best passers. 2022 turns up a contract year — and his most serious challenger for snaps/targets yet. Still, O.J. Howard comes with serious durability concerns. He might steal a few red zone TDs, but Knox remains a top-15 TE.
Buffalo has seemingly been in the tight end market for years, but Knox put some concerns to bed with a leap forward in 2021. Including the playoffs, the 2019 third-round pick was on the field for 87% of snaps during 17 active weeks. During the regular season, Knox led all tight ends in touchdowns (nine) and TD rate (12.3%), while finishing fourth in end zone targets (nine). On the negative side, Knox was targeted only 73 times (20th at the position) and fell short of a top-10 fantasy campaign. The 25-year-old's usage doesn't figure to rise in 2022 with O.J. Howard now in the fold, so even in an elite Buffalo offense, he's best viewed as a good TE2.
Knox saw his touchdowns jump significantly last season, up to 9 from 3 the year before. That was in part because his red zone targets jumped from 14 to 21. The result was a season where Knox finished as the No. 7 tight end in many formats. We are leery of a regression of course, as it was a massive shift, but lean towards feeling this was a step forward in his development rather than an aberration. Teams will pay more attention to him, and that might hamper him a bit, but with the other weapons on offense, defenses can only pay so much attention to him. While we don't think he hits 9 touchdowns again, we do feel he will be closer to that than the 3 he had previously. This puts him in the position of solid TE backup for fantasy owners.

2022 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#93

PPR

#103

Half-PPR

#87

Superflex

#95

2022 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Rush Yds Rush TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
48.1 578.1 6.8

2022 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#87

Pick 8.03

PPR

#96

Pick 8.12

Half-PPR

#90

Pick 8.06

Superflex

#93

Pick 8.09

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
High

Depth Chart

Strength of Schedule

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