Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones

RB - GB
Height: 5-9
Weight: 208 lbs
Age: 28
College: UTEP
Green Bay Packers

2022 Season Outlooks

Jones was selected as a borderline first-round pick in Fantasy drafts last summer and through the first four games only four RBs outscored him in PPR leagues. Ultimately, Jones would cede touches to talent backup AJ Dillon and he finished the 2021 season with just the 22nd-most touches per game and the 13th-most Fantasy points per game (PPR). Jones' role in the passing game gives him a nice floor, but he'll need to have an even more expanded role as a receiver and in the red zone -- possibly picking up some of Davante Adams' vacated touches -- to break through again as a top-five runner like he did in 2019 and 2020. Get ready to take him in Round 2.
Jones, 28 in December, probably won’t carry an RB1 ceiling for much longer. He’s played a full season only once in his 5-year career. And AJ Dillon has clearly emerged as a worthy backfield partner. The path to Jones delivering as a fringe RB1 is via the receiving game. With Green Bay missing ~240 targets from 2021, Jones is a prime candidate to see a boosted role. He’s ultimately fairly priced at a current RB12 ADP.
Jones is entering his sixth season with the Packers and, while he certainly remains the lead back, he'll continue to face substantial competition from third-year AJ Dillon. Excluding the two games Jones missed last season, Jones had 183 carries (46% share) and 75 targets (14%), compared to 169 carries (42%) and 30 targets (6%) for AJ Dillon. Jones finished as a top-12 fantasy RB for the third year in a row, though his rushing production was down considerably. Durability is a concern here, as Jones has missed at least two regular-season games during four of his five NFL campaigns. Jones will, at least, split the carries and is heavily involved in the passing game in one of the league's top offenses, so even with some concerns, the 27-year-old remains a fringe RB1.
Aaron Jones had a down year in 2021, at least by his standards. He suffered a midseason knee injury, lost some goal-line work to A.J. Dillon, and finished as the overall RB11 in PPR leagues. Just as the fantasy community started to sour on Jones, a huge trade was announced that sent Davante Adams to the Las Vegas Raiders. With Jones and Dillon now sharing a backfield, this should benefit both of them tremendously. Jones is the preferred pass-catcher and should see increased usage in the passing game without Adams there to gobble up targets. Since 2019, Jones has played in seven games without Adams. In those games, he averaged 5.1 receptions, 55.4 rec yards, 67.1 rush yards, and 1.43 touchdowns. Added up, that comes out to 25.97 fantasy points per game. That output over a full season would almost assuredly push Jones into the elite tier of year-end finishers. Unfortunately though, things aren't quite that simple, and extrapolating a limited sample size over a full season rarely works out. Jones will turn 28 this year, which is a scary age for backs. However, his style of play and limited workload throughout his career should help him elongate his career. In 2022, Jones is looking like he'll be valued as a low-end RB2. Considering his talent and upside, he should make for a great value as long as his draft position remains out of the first round.

2022 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#23

PPR

#18

Half-PPR

#21

Superflex

#31

2022 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Rush Yds Rush TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
857.3 5.9 62.7 512.5 3.8

2022 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#18

Pick 2.06

PPR

#19

Pick 2.07

Half-PPR

#16

Pick 2.04

Superflex

#33

Pick 3.09

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
High

Depth Chart

Strength of Schedule

Average/Easy Season Ahead
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