Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo

Height: 6-4
Weight: 225 lbs
Age: 34
Kansas City Royals

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The ScoreTrust Verlander to dominate struggling Mariners

We have a nine-game slate Wednesday night. Let's waste no time getting to a few of the plays that popped off the page.Seth Lugo: Under 2.5 earned runs Lugo doesn't give up many runs. He's allowing 1.4 per start this season and went under this line in nine of 11 appearances. The run marks some of the best baseball of his career, but he's been doing a good job of keeping runs off the board for quite some time.Lugo allowed three runs or more in only eight of 30 starts dating back to last season. That means he went under an impressive 73% of the time.Lugo should stay in strong form against the Twins, who have been putrid offensively of late and are hitting only .190 against right-handed pitchers over the past two weeks.The Twins plated two runs or fewer against eight of 10 right-handed starters faced in that span. The exceptions came against Alec Marsh and Jos Ure a - not exactly the stiffest of competition.Look for Lugo to continue piling it on against the struggling Twins.Odds: -135 (playable to -150)Tyler Anderson: Under 4.5 strikeoutsAnderson's coming down to earth following an unsustainably strong start to the campaign. He allowed at least five hits in four of the past five games after holding teams under that number in each of his first five starts. His strikeouts are on the decline as well, as he's recorded exactly four punchouts in three straight games.A big problem for Anderson is his inability to hit the zone. He's throwing strikes at a below-average rate this month, which is not ideal heading into a game against the Yankees.They mash left-handed pitchers and own a .358 xwOBA (second place) and 15.8% barrel rate (first by a mile) versus lefties in May.The Yankees also play with great discipline at the plate and make pitchers come to them. Their swing rate against lefties this month (45.9%) is among the lowest in the majors. They will sit on their hands and make Anderson throw strikes, which he's struggling to do right now. I expect plenty of lengthy, high-pitch at-bats, and the Yankees should do plenty of damage in the process.Odds: -140 (playable to -160)Justin Verlander: Under 2.5 earned runsVerlander hasn't been dominant this season, but he's still pitching well. He allowed two runs or less in five of seven starts, with the blow-ups coming against the Yankees and Brewers.It just so happens the Yankees and Brewers rank first and second, respectively, in OBP against righties this season. Both of those offenses are elite, so there's no shame in struggling against them.The Mariners, on the other hand, are a good team but are much better at pitching than hitting. They sit 26th in xwOBA versus right-handed pitchers this season, last in strikeouts, and 27th in terms of contact rate.The Mariners scored two runs or fewer against each of the last nine right-handed starters faced. Look for that streak to reach 10 on Wednesday night.Odds: -135 (playable to -150)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Wednesday, May 29, 2024

TheRotoFeedShould We Believe In Seth Lugo? Pitcher Video Breakdown

Nick analyzes Seth Lugo for his pitcher video breakdown. The post Should We Believe In Seth Lugo? – Pitcher Video Breakdown appeared first on Pitcher List.

Source: TheRotoFeed
Tuesday, May 28, 2024

The ScoreMLB Power Rankings: Twins sizzling, Reds reeling

Welcome to the fourth edition of theScore's MLB Power Rankings for the 2024 regular season. The last edition was published April 29. 1. Los Angeles Dodgers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 27-15 8-2 +74 2 (+1) This Dodgers offense is simply on another level. Their 220 runs scored are seven ahead of the second-place Phillies, and all six of their qualified position players have an OPS above .800 (seven if you count rookie Andy Pages). The pitching's also been great despite another rash of injuries to their staff. To put it simply, the Dodgers are exactly who we thought they were.2. Philadelphia Phillies Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 28-13 8-2 +62 5 (+3) The Phillies picked up right where they left off after winning 19 games in April, going 8-2 to begin this month. Bryce Harper's been a beast, slugging .647 with three homers, 11 RBIs, and nine runs scored in May, while Bryson Stott (1.158 OPS in his past eight games) has turned things around after a tough start. The rotation's been ridiculous, with Ranger Su rez (1.50 ERA) and Zack Wheeler (2.53 ERA) looking like early Cy Young front-runners.3. Baltimore Orioles Scott Taetsch / Getty Images Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 26-13 7-3 +49 4 (+1) The Orioles boast one of baseball's most well-rounded offenses. Gunnar Henderson is tied for second in MLB with 12 home runs, Adley Rutschman has a 131 OPS+, and both Jordan Westburg and Colton Cowser look like major pieces to the puzzle moving forward. This team's only question mark is closer Craig Kimbrel - he's had several rough outings in May (6.75 ERA in four innings).4. New York Yankees Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 27-15 7-3 +54 3 (-1) It's a dogfight between the Yankees and Orioles atop the AL East, and two of New York's biggest pups are turning it on. Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo rank first and second in team OPS to begin the month after combining for five homers, 14 RBIs, and 18 hits through 10 games. When factoring in Juan Soto in the heart of the order, it's no wonder the Bronx Bombers are the second-highest scoring team in the AL.5. Atlanta Braves Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 24-13 5-5 +45 1 (-4) With the exception of Marcell Ozuna, the Braves' vaunted offense isn't quite out of its early-season sputter. But you'd be foolish to count them out. Brilliant pitching, led by Max Fried's return to form, has kept things steady, and the staff nearly threw a combined no-hitter against the Mets. This team will be fine.6. Milwaukee Brewers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 24-16 5-5 +35 6 (-) Milwaukee's bats, which have long been their undoing, are finally clicking. The Brewers have scored 203 runs and own the third-most fWAR (8.7) in baseball, behind only the Dodgers. As a result, they head into a crucial week sitting a half-game ahead of the Cubs in the NL Central, a place few expected this Brewers team would be in mid-May.7. Minnesota Twins Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 24-16 7-3 +27 17 (+10) While the Twins' summer sausage is making the headlines, the real story of this team is catcher Ryan Jeffers. He's slugged nine homers, driven in 30 runs, and posted a .292/.371/.617 slash line. His efforts, combined with the return of Carlos Correa and Max Kepler, have turned the Twins' lineup into a buzzsaw for opposing pitchers.8. Kansas City Royals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 25-17 6-4 +49 8 (-) Seth Lugo might be the best signing of the offseason. The 34-year-old, who inked a two-year, $30-million deal in December, owns an AL-best 1.66 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 48 strikeouts in 59 2/3 innings. Meanwhile, Vinnie Pasquantino is starting to help out Bobby Witt Jr. on the offensive side, with seven extra-base hits and a .992 OPS this month.9. Texas Rangers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 22-20 5-5 +20 9 (-) The Rangers are 6-6 in May with a rotation ravaged by injuries. Dane Dunning, Nathan Eovaldi, and Cody Bradford hit the injured list, while Max Scherzer is now dealing with a nerve issue amid his recovery from offseason back surgery. Marcus Semien's kept the team afloat with his bat, recording a hit in 10 of 12 games this month. Texas just needs to get healthy.10. Cleveland Guardians Steph Chambers / Getty Images Sport / Getty Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 25-16 5-5 +42 7 (-3) The Guardians' lineup took a big hit with Steven Kwan out four weeks due to a hamstring strain. The 26-year-old was slashing .353/.407/.496 with a team-leading 1.9 fWAR before the injury. Luckily, Triston McKenzie is pitching much better after a slow start. The right-hander owns a 2.28 ERA and 30 strikeouts over his last five starts (27 2/3 innings). 11. Chicago Cubs Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 24-17 5-5 +18 10 (-1) The Cubs persevered through injuries to Cody Bellinger and Seiya Suzuki on the strength of their pitching. It hasn't just been Shota Imanaga, either. Javier Assad (1.70 ERA) and Jameson Taillon (1.13 ERA) have also been great, giving the team a formidable trio atop its rotation. Christopher Morel's really turned it on in May, hitting .235/.342/.588 with four homers in 10 games after slashing .215/.292/.374 with four home runs in 29 games in March/April.12. Seattle Mariners Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 22-19 5-5 +6 13 (+1) The Mariners are atop the AL West by a half-game almost entirely thanks to their brilliant starting pitchers. Despite scoring 17 runs against Oakland over the weekend, their offense continues to sputter, with star Julio Rodr guez (.633 OPS) leading the way in that regard. The Mariners are facing the Royals, Orioles, and Yankees over the next 11 days and need Rodr guez to start hitting if they're to survive this stretch with that division lead intact.13. San Diego Padres Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 22-21 7-3 +16 18 (+5) The addition of Luis Arraez seems to have lit a spark under the Padres. San Diego's won five of eight since his arrival, including a series win over the rival Dodgers on the weekend. Great pitching has also helped, of course, with Dylan Cease (7 IP, 0 ER, 12 K) and Yu Darvish (7 IP, 0 ER, 7 K) both turning in recent gems. 14. Boston Red Sox Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 21-19 4-6 +33 12 (-2) The impact of numerous injuries to position players is starting to be felt, as the offense has really struggled in recent weeks. The Red Sox scored two or fewer runs in six of their last nine games and have hit an MLB-worst three home runs over the last two weeks (12 games). Tyler O'Neill's really struggled in May, hitting .143/.250/.286 with 18 strikeouts and no home runs in 10 games.15. Arizona Diamondbacks Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images Sport / Getty Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-22 5-5 +17 14 (-1) We're all just waiting for Corbin Carroll to snap out of this funk. He's hitting .201/.287/.266 with two home runs on the season, a far cry from the all-around excellent numbers he put up during his 2023 NL Rookie of the Year campaign. The Diamondbacks need their young star to rediscover his form (and fast) if they want to avoid falling into an even deeper hole in the NL West.16. New York Mets Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-20 4-6 +1 15 (-1) It's been a rough start to May for Mets pitching. Jose Quintana owns a 14.09 ERA, Adrian Houser was moved to the bullpen, and the rotation as a whole combined for a 5.68 ERA, which ranks 28th in the majors. Brandon Nimmo's kept the team afloat on offense, but he was injured over the weekend, putting additional pressure on Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and J.D. Martinez to produce.17. Tampa Bay Rays Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 20-21 6-4 -32 22 (+5) The Rays are hovering around .500 and have a winning record this month despite a revolving door of injured players. Tampa Bay would be absolutely lost without Isaac Paredes, who continues to look like an All-Star, while Randy Arozarena (.618 SLG in May) and Yandy Diaz (.333 AVG in his last 10 games) are turning corners.18. Detroit Tigers Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 20-20 3-7 +3 16 (-2) Kerry Carpenter's found his stroke, slugging .696 with five extra-base hits in his last eight games. The Tigers are going to need him and Riley Greene to pick up the slack with Spencer Torkelson, Mark Canha, and Javier B ez struggling at the dish. Baez has three hits in 30 at-bats this month and hasn't homered since April 18.19. Toronto Blue Jays Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 18-22 3-7 -47 19 (-) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is showing signs of his previous All-Star self. The first baseman is hammering the ball and enjoyed a 10-for-20 stretch over his last five games. The only problem is that none of those hits were for extra bases. As the Blue Jays continue to tinker with a lineup that's scored the third-fewest runs in the majors, the pitching staff is springing leaks and has posted a 5.65 ERA in May, which is only better than the Marlins.20. Cincinnati Reds Dylan Buell / Getty Images Sport / Getty Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 17-23 1-9 -5 11 (-9) The Reds saw the biggest drop in the rankings following an eight-game losing streak. Cincinnati's bats went ice cold, scoring a combined 17 runs with a .279 slugging percentage. But Elly De La Cruz continues to put up video-game numbers. He's collected seven more steals in May to give him a whopping 25 through 39 games.21. Pittsburgh Pirates Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 18-23 4-6 -27 21 (-) Paul Skenes has arrived. Baseball's top-ranked pitching prospect showed signs of what makes him so special with seven strikeouts in his debut Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, impressing with a fastball that routinely exceeded 100 mph. He and fellow rookie flamethrower Jared Jones should form one of baseball's most exciting pitching duos for this fun-but-flawed Pirates team.22. Washington Nationals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-20 5-5 -7 25 (+3) The Nationals have given good teams trouble in May and had a hard-fought series split against the Baltimore Orioles. A driving force behind their recent success has been Luis Garc a Jr., who's emerged as another dynamic threat alongside CJ Abrams. He's slashing .303/.378/.576 with two home runs and a team-leading nine RBIs in May.23. San Francisco Giants Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-23 4-6 -39 20 (-3) Logan Webb summed up the Giants' play in May as "dogshit" after the club went 3-7 to begin the month. The slumping Reds also ended their prolonged losing skid with a win against San Francisco. The club's lineup was supposed to take a step forward with the high-profile additions of Jung Hoo Lee, Matt Chapman, and Jorge Soler. However, the trio's combined for 0.3 fWAR, and Lee is now out with a dislocated shoulder.24. Oakland Athletics Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 19-23 4-6 -32 26 (+2) No, there's not going to be a Major League-esque run in Oakland, so let's just applaud what the A's have done so far. A team written off for dead and playing out the string before relocating to a temporary home is only 3.5 games out of first place and has the best closer in baseball. Shea Langeliers, whose A's career got off to a slow start, owns a 1.289 OPS in May, good for the third-highest mark in MLB.25. Houston Astros Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-25 5-5 -28 24 (-1) Astros GM Dana Brown thinks his team is too good to sell off pieces at the trade deadline, but the dominating squad of years past continues not to show up. Houston owns the third-worst winning percentage in the AL and a minus-28 run differential, mostly due to a starting staff that has been brutal (5.25 ERA, 4.65 FIP). Houston's had the toughest schedule in the majors so far, going 10-22 against teams .500 or better.26. Los Angeles Angels Allen J. Schaben / Los Angeles Times / Getty Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 15-26 4-6 -37 27 (+1) Mike Trout was once again the Angels' only positive until his knee injury derailed what was looking like his best season in several years. After losing a weekend series to Kansas City, the Halos dropped to 4-7 in May and own the AL's third-worst run differential. Youngsters Zach Neto (.652 OPS), Nolan Schanuel (.638), Mickey Moniak (.659), Logan O'Hoppe (.690), and Jo Adell (.643) should all receive plenty of opportunity. Unfortunately they've all struggled this month.27. St. Louis Cardinals Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 16-24 2-8 -51 23 (-4) Things are not going well in Cardinals land. St. Louis dropped seven of its last eight games, star catcher Willson Contreras is expected to be out for 10 weeks with a fractured forearm, and manager Oliver Marmol appears to be on the hot seat. The club's offense was supposed to be strong but has the third-worst batting average (.220) in baseball to go along with the fourth-worst on-base percentage (.298). Paul Goldschmidt is 3-for-37 (.081) with 16 strikeouts this month, but he did homer for the first time in 16 games Sunday.28. Chicago White Sox Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 12-29 6-4 -90 30 (+2) The White Sox escaped the basement in the rankings after winning four of their last five with a pitching staff that allowed 14 runs during the stretch. Garrett Crochet is tops in the majors with a 12.34 K/9 among qualified starters after striking out a career-high 11 in his last start against the Guardians.29. Colorado Rockies Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 12-28 5-5 -67 29 (-) The Rockies' season-high four-game win streak, which included a sweep of the World Series champion Rangers, is a bright spot amid another tough campaign. Brenton Doyle had six hits, four runs, four RBIs, and one homer during the stretch while enjoying a solid start to his sophomore year. Overall, the 25-year-old outfielder is slashing .289/.340/.465 with four homers and seven stolen bases.30. Miami Marlins Record Last 10 RD Previous Rank 11-31 3-7 -89 28 (-2) Peter Bendix isn t winning over anyone in Miami. Disgruntled Marlins fans protested the team outside loanDepot Park after the first-year executive traded two-time batting champion Luis Arraez to the Padres. He then made some shocking comments following the trade, saying after just 34 games that his team was unlikely to make the playoffs.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Monday, May 13, 2024

The ScoreCardinals to snap losing skid vs. Brewers

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.Wednesday was another successful night on the diamond as we once again won two of three best bets.We'll look to keep the momentum going with a couple more plays for Thursday's small card.Cardinals (-130) @ Brewers (+110)Sonny Gray is pitching as well as anybody right now. He's 4-1 with a 0.89 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP, and he's struck out 38 batters over just 30 innings of work.He's hammering the zone with strikes and wasting very few pitches. Gray's also giving up next to no quality contact. His barrel rate of 4.2% is approximately half the league average, while he has an extremely low xwOBA of .243. Gray's inducing grounders nearly 50% of the time, and his fly-ball rate of 23.9% is below average. He's posting remarkably strong numbers across the board.He should produce another quality start against a struggling Brewers offense. They've scored just seven total runs against the past seven right-handed starters faced.Getting Christian Yelich back from injury will help Milwaukee, but those outputs are still extremely concerning given the cast of characters the Brewers met in that time.Brady Singer, Seth Lugo, Javier Assad, Jameson Taillon, Hayden Wesneski, Zach Eflin, and Ryan Pepiot are a decent batch of pitchers, but it's not like the Brewers have run into a string of aces. Most of those guys are 3-5 pitchers.Gray is a big step up in class from what the Brewers have dealt with of late. He should keep their offense in check, positioning the Cardinals very well to break their losing streak.If the Cardinals' offense can muster up any sort of run support against Tobias Myers - who's conceded nine runs through 13 innings this season - they stand a great chance of winning this game.Bet: Cardinals (-130)Erick Fedde: Over 15.5 outsFedde's on a nice little run. He's recorded 17 or more outs in three of his past four starts, falling short only against the Cardinals.I think he's in a great spot to bounce back and chew up innings against the Guardians. They're a very good team but swing at a lot of pitches and don't draw many walks. That leads to a lot of balls put in play, which helps pitchers avoid extended at-bats and keep their pitch count low.Each of the nine previous right-handed starters the Guardians have faced managed to record 16 or more outs. The lone exception was Kenta Maeda, who allowed eight baserunners in just two innings of work a few days ago.So long as Fedde can avoid a hit parade, he has a great chance of going over this number. That doesn't seem a lot to ask - Fedde's allowed four or fewer hits in four of his past five starts.It's also worth noting Fedde is sporting a great .243 xwOBA against left-handed bats over the past month, and the Guardians' lineup is loaded with them.Odds: -125 (playable to -140)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Source: The Score
Thursday, May 9, 2024