Stafford is a low-end starting quarterback who should be drafted in the Round 10 range in Fantasy leagues. In a one-quarterback league, he's the perfect guy to pair with young, upside quarterbacks like Justin Fields and Trey Lance. As good as he was last year, it also shows the limits to his upside. Stafford finished 2021 third in passing yards and second in passing touchdowns, and still ranked eighth in Fantasy points per game. That's because of his 4.3 Fantasy points as a rusher, by far the lowest for any top-12 quarterback. At the same time, his profile makes him even more valuable in two-quarterback leagues because he's much safer than Fields, Lance or even someone like Jalen Hurts.
Stafford was awesome in his Rams debut, winning a Super Bowl and finishing 5th or 6th among QBs in fantasy points.
He returns to the same offense in 2022, along with WR Cooper Kupp, WR Van Jefferson and TE Tyler Higbee. But Stafford will be dealing with the departures of WRs Robert Woods and Odell Beckham – plus 2 of last year’s offensive line starters.
We’re projecting a slight step back in Stafford’s numbers this year. But he’s a safe bet for at least low-end QB1 production.
Stafford's first season in Los Angeles resulted in a Lombardi Trophy and he was rewarded with an offseason contract extension. It also resulted in the sixth-most fantasy points at the position, as Stafford finished no lower than eighth in pass attempts, completions, yards, TDs and yards per attempt. There's some survival bias baked into Stafford's sixth-place finish -- he was 11th in fantasy PPG -- and it can't be ignored that he's a nonfactor as a rusher (his last rushing TD came in 2016). That said, Stafford operates in Sean McVay's pass-heavy scheme and has a good supporting cast led by Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson II. The 34-year-old reigning Super Bowl MVP is best viewed as a back-end QB1.
The Rams were aggressive in acquiring Matthew Stafford and shedding Jared Goff in a blockbuster quarterback-swap trade last offseason. Not only did the trade pay off on the stat sheet with Stafford finishing third in the NFL in passing yards and second in passing touchdowns, but the Rams' all-in roster-building strategy, including Stafford's acquisition, resulted in a Super Bowl win. Stafford had arguably the best season of his career with the lone blemish being 17 interceptions. Stafford's interception rate has oscillated around the NFL average mark during his career with 2021 a clear outlier and regression-worthy figure heading into 2022. The biggest change for Stafford is losing Robert Woods and gaining Allen Robinson among the wide receiver corps. Woods was an integral piece to the offense even beyond being an all-around receiving option, with Robinson a strong addition if he can return to form of his 2020 season. During training camp Stafford has been managed with his reps, working through elbow tendinitis, but reports have him on track for the season and Week 1.