Derrick Henry
2025 Season Outlooks
If you doubted Henry as a 30-year-old in his first season in Baltimore, that was a decision you certainly regretted. He didn't miss a game, averaged a career-best 5.9 yards per rush, and delivered more than 2,100 total yards for the second time in his career. This puts Fantasy managers in a difficult position in 2025. Few backs reach 31 years old in the NFL, much less have an ADP in the first 15 picks at that age. Father Time is undefeated, but it hasn't knocked Henry out yet. We are being cautious again, and wouldn't suggest drafting Henry before the middle of Round 2, but if you play in multiple leagues it is probably worth reaching for him in at least one. There was no sign of decline from Henry in 2024. The only negative to his game is his lack of catches, which does make him less valuable in full PPR. In non-PPR, he's a first-round pick.
Henry was �as advertised� in his first season with Baltimore, pacing all running backs in rushing TDs (16) and finishing no lower than fourth in carries, rushing yards, carries inside the 5 and fantasy points. Henry has now finished top 10 among RBs in rushing yards and TDs each of the last seven seasons, though he remains limited as a receiver (51st among RBs in targets last season). Henry is now 31 years old (ancient for a fantasy-relevant RB), but doesn't seem to have lost a step (top 3 in YPC and YAC last season). Henry's lack of targets limits his ceiling a bit, but his elite rushing output locks him in as a back-end RB1.
Over the last five years, he led all running backs per game in rushing yards (102.5), yards after contact (74.9), rushing touchdowns (0.92), avoided tackles (4.4) and fantasy points from rushing (15.6).
Keaton Mitchell had six games with a carry in 2023, and averaged at least 6 yards per carry in five of those six games. He ended that season with 8.4 yards per carry and the second-highest rushing grade of the season. He returned halfway through 2024 and wasn’t close to 100%, but he should allow Henry to rest more often on early downs without slowing down the Ravens’ offense too much.
Henry averaged 8.6 yards per carry on perfectly blocked runs over the last three seasons compared to 3.5 on non-perfectly blocked runs. The Ravens' offensive line was average at run blocking last season. This season, an improvement or decline in the Ravens' line will be a factor on Henry’s fantasy value.
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings
Standard
#5
PPR
#13
Half-PPR
#6
Superflex
#16
2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections
| Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | 1575.5 | 13.9 | 16.8 | 156.5 | 1.7 |
|---|
2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)
Standard
#11
Pick 1.11
PPR
#11
Pick 1.11
Half-PPR
#8
Pick 1.08
Superflex
#23
Pick 2.11
Strength of Schedule
| 1 |  |
|
| 2 |  |
|
| 3 |  |
|
| 4 |  |
|
| 5 |  |
|
| 6 |  |
|
| 8 |  |
|
| 9 |  |
|
| 10 |  |
|
| 11 | |
|
| 12 |  |
|
| 13 |  |
|
| 14 |  |
|
| Fantasy Playoffs | ||
| 15 | |
|
| 16 |  |
|
| 17 |  |
|
| 18 | |
|