Jared Goff
2025 Season Outlooks
Goff turned in a career year in 2024, setting career highs across the board. Now he'll try to repeat that, which is unlikely considering the coming regression in touchdown rate (6.9% in 2024 compared with 5% in 2023) and yards per attempt (8.6 in 2024 vs. 7.6 in 2023). Goff will also have to deal with the absence of Ben Johnson, which could cause another dropoff. For that reason, we would rather draft Goff closer to QB12 in Round 10 or later. Even in that career year, Goff was only QB8, which is much closer to his ceiling than his floor. Part of the reason for Goff's ceiling limitation is the fact that he's only run for more than 100 yards in a season once and that was seven years ago.
Goff makes for a tricky evaluation in his 10th NFL season, as his seventh-place showing in fantasy PPG in 2024 was the first time he ever finished better than 10th. With Ben Johnson leading the offense, Goff has finished sixth or better in passing yards and TDs each of the last three seasons, but he adds almost nothing with his legs (150 yards and two TDs total during the three seasons). Even during a productive 2024, Goff was inconsistent, as he posted eight top-10 fantasy weeks but was 17th or worse the other nine weeks. Especially with Johnson off to Chicago, Goff is likely to see some regression in key efficiency categories (his 72% completion rate and 8.6 YPA last season were way above his previous career highs) and, coupled with his lack of rushing, he has a very low fantasy ceiling. Goff will remain a productive passer, but he's no more than a QB2 with occasional streaming appeal.
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings
Standard
#134
PPR
#118
Half-PPR
#124
Superflex
#41
2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections
| Pass Yds | Pass TD | Pass Int | Rush Yds | Rush TD | 4318.5 | 29.6 | 11.8 | 56.8 | 0.3 |
|---|
2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)
Standard
#101
Pick 9.05
PPR
#106
Pick 9.10
Half-PPR
#103
Pick 9.07
Superflex
#35
Pick 3.11
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