The only reason why you're even considering Watkins for your Fantasy team is because he's on a Packers offense without any stability at wide receiver. In the four years since he escaped Los Angeles -- three with the ballyhooed Chiefs -- Watkins has averaged 5.3 targets and 3.3 receptions per game with 12.9 yards per catch. He's also missed 18 games in those four seasons. Somehow, he's still only going to be 29 years old when this season starts, but the likelihood of him being a successful sleeper is low, even if he's catching passes from Aaron Rodgers. You could talk yourself into drafting him with your third-to-last pick if he's truly in a position to play a lot, but don't overlook another sleeper while doing so.
Watkins hasn’t finished inside WR3 range since 2015. His opportunity for starting snaps is clear on a Packers squad that just lost Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
But will he mesh with Aaron Rodgers? And can he stay healthy enough to perform for fantasy managers? We’re skeptical, but with an ADP in Round 21, there’s zero risk in best ball leagues.
Watkins signed with the Packers after one unsuccessful season in Baltimore, as he was limited to career-low marks in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns. Watkins missed four games and has now been sidelined for multiple games in six of his last seven seasons. He hasn't produced a top-40 fantasy campaign since 2015 and he's never finished better than 20th. On paper, the 29-year-old is in a good spot with Aaron Rodgers under center and with the likes of Allen Lazard, Randall Cobb and a pair of rookies as his chief competition for snaps and targets. However, he's been here before many times and hasn't come through. Watkins may flash with the occasional big game, but he's barely worth considering late in your draft.
The Packers will be the fifth team Sammy Watkins has played for in the last seven years. Watkins is now far removed from his healthy rookie season and subsequent 1,047-yard campaign. The former first-rounder hasn't cracked 700 yards or played a full season since 2015. He's bounced around to a few teams and shown flashes of his former self, but has yet to put together a complete or impressive season. Aaron Rodgers is next in a list of great quarterbacks who have thrown to Watkins including Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes. The lack of competition in the Green Bay receiver room gives Watkins a chance to step up. However, it's tough to envision the veteran doing much more than playing a complementary role at this point in his career.