All Brady has done since arriving in Tampa Bay is produce, averaging over 25 Fantasy points per game. He even averaged 1.1 more points per game in 2021 than in 2020. You could argue he's too old to succeed, but you'd be relying on an argument that's been wrong for the better part of the past five years. You could complain that he won't have his full allotment of pass-catchers, which might be a realistic problem in September, but Brady's done more with less in the past and deserves the benefit of the doubt. You could point out his tough schedule, but you'd only be half-right because the Bucs have it tough early on and then have a mostly favorable slate from Week 10 on. Besides, Brady's posted big numbers on everyone except New Orleans. Brady remains not just a reliable Fantasy starter but a Draft Day bargain (we like him after 60th overall) because as many as five other quarterbacks will get chosen before him. That's also the case in Superflex and two-QB leagues, although he'll be a top-20 choice in those formats, so it won't feel quite like a bargain.
Brady led the NFL in pass attempts last season because no team passed at a higher rate than the Buccaneers. Despite Bruce Arians’ departure and Chris Godwin’s knee injury, the offense appears similarly built. Tampa imported WR Russell Gage in free agency and spent a 3rd-round pick on RB Rachaad White, who stood out most for his receiving production among this year’s RB class. Brady showed no signs of reaching a cliff at 44, so there’s little reason to believe he’ll crash this season. The questions about Godwin and TE Rob Gronkowski (currently unsigned) add some downside risk. But his low-QB1 ADP accounts for that. Brady’s a decent option in that range.
Following a brief retirement, Brady is back and will be under center for Tampa Bay this season. The GOAT attempted 719 passes last season, which is the second most in a single season in NFL history. He also paced the league in completions, passing yardage and passing TDs, and only two QBs scored more fantasy points. Bruce Arians is out and Todd Bowles in as head coach, which could lead to more offensive balance, but it's no accident that seven of Brady's last eight offenses have been pass-first (if not extremely pass-heavy). Brady is 45 years old and doesn't offer much with his legs (81 yards last season), but he's still playing at an elite level, won't be short volume and has a good group of targets. We should expect a slight step back this season, but Brady remains a solid fantasy starter.
Tom Brady continues to push the limits of NFL records and age-adjusted level of play for the quarterback position with each passing season. Brady enters his age 45 season with his key weapons returning (pending Rob Gronkowski returning) and off a career-high 719 attempts, 5,316 yards, and 43 touchdowns marking the second-highest total of his storied career. In addition to his elite passing upside, Brady has still been a sturdy bet for multiple rushing touchdowns into his 40s with at least two scores on the ground each of the past four seasons.