Caleb Williams
2025 Season Outlooks
Williams is a former No. 1 overall pick who should now benefit from one of the best offensive minds in the NFL in Ben Johnson and has perhaps one of the deepest supporting casts in the NFL with DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, Coltson Loveland and Cole Kmet. Those are the reasons to take a chance on him as a top-12 QB. However, you need those reasons because his performance as a rookie was subpar. His 21.1% bad throw percentage was the third-highest in the league, and more than a quarter of his pressures turned into sacks, which is also amongst the worst in the league and a continuing problem since his days in college. Inaccurate and indecisive is no way to succeed as an NFL quarterback. The Bears made great improvements to the offensive line, but it is still on Williams to get rid of the ball. Because of his potential, and Ben Johnson, we are willing to draft Williams as a borderline QB1 in Round 8 or later, but you should take a second QB with a higher floor. In Dynasty leagues, Williams is a top-eight QB who still has top-five potential.
Williams is entering his second NFL season with hopes for a leap forward under new head coach and playcaller Ben Johnson. The 2024 No. 1 pick had a few big games (22-plus fantasy points five times), but way too many major duds (nine games with fewer than 12 points) during his first season. Efficiency was an issue (outside of the top 35 in QBR, YPA and completion %) and he took a league-high 68 sacks, but he got experience (QB2 in dropbacks), avoided INTs (seven) and added value with his legs (seventh at QB in carries, rush yards and YPC). With Johnson designing the offense, a much-improved interior offensive line and a good supporting cast led by DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III, Williams has no excuses as he enters a critical Year 2. He's safest when drafted as a fringe QB1, but he has a very high ceiling.
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings
Standard
#115
PPR
#108
Half-PPR
#110
Superflex
#30
2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections
| Pass Yds | Pass TD | Pass Int | Rush Yds | Rush TD | 3903.3 | 24.4 | 10.5 | 443.3 | 2.5 |
|---|
2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)
Standard
#108
Pick 9.12
PPR
#111
Pick 10.03
Half-PPR
#115
Pick 10.07
Superflex
#30
Pick 3.06
Strength of Schedule
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