Fantasy Football

Davis Mills

QB - HOU

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Weight: lbs

Age: --

College: Stanford

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2022 Season Outlooks

Only Fantasy managers in Superflex/two-QB leagues will have interest in Mills, but perhaps it shouldn't be that way. Despite a leaky O-line and inferior receivers beyond Brandin Cooks, Mills finished 2021 with at least 18 Fantasy points in four of his final five games. He definitely favored his receivers (63.4% of his completions) and running backs (21.6%). You may consider that finish a stepping stone for Mills to eventually hit bigger Fantasy numbers as he's one of three second-year Fantasy-relevant players on offense the team is looking for an improvement from. It's not enough to chase Mills in one-QB leagues, but he's absolutely on the radar as a mid-round pick in formats that can start multiple quarterbacks.

A Round 3 rookie, Mills was thrown into the fire early on. He flopped — predictably — on an offense that didn’t provide much support. Given another chance late in the season, though, Mills flashed starter-quality ability. But that was as a passer. Mills posted only 44 rushing yards across 13 total appearances. That lack of rushing upside — and a still largely unproven supporting cast — keeps the young passer buried in the ranks.

Mills returns as the starter in Houston. The 2021 third-round pick played relatively well in 13 appearances as a rookie despite some rough conditions in Houston. He tossed 16 TDs to 10 INTs and completed a healthy 67% of his passes. He hit for the occasional big fantasy week (four top-10s), but generally wasn't a viable option (28th in PPG during 11 weeks he played in full). Mills is a nonfactor with his legs, and the supporting cast in Houston remains a work in progress behind Brandin Cooks. He's not on the fantasy radar.

In 13 games in 2021 Davis Mills quietly put forth typical rookie numbers passing for 2,664 yards with 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He added 44 yards on the ground on 18 carries. Looking deeper into his stats, he finished with four games of 300-plus yards passing and five games where he had multiple touchdowns. The last five games of 2021 saw him throw 9 touchdowns with 2 interceptions and an average of 251 yards passing. We normally see improvement from second-year quarterbacks, especially those who have moderate success in year one. Mills is one to watch as a player who could take a big leap forward in 2022.