Kmet is coming off an extremely odd 2022 season in which he opened the year with zero catches during Weeks 1 and 2 and didn't score double-digit fantasy points in a game until Week 9. Kmet then scored six TDs in his final nine games and his 12.4 fantasy PPG during the span ranked fourth among tight ends. The 2020 second-round pick is a full-time player (no TE has played more snaps over the past two seasons), but he was way over his head in the TD department (seven TDs, 3.0 expected) and his already-inconsistent targets could dip after Chicago added DJ Moore to the WR room. Of course, Kmet is an ascending player at age 24, so there's reason for optimism that he can provide fringe TE1 numbers.