Jefferson has proven to be an elite Fantasy wide receiver and will be drafted like one ... as in the No. 1 pick in your league. If it's a PPR format, it's warranted: Last year Jefferson averaged 10.8 targets, 7.5 receptions, 106.4 yards and 21.7 PPR Fantasy points per game. The Vikings' addition of rookie Jordan Addison is designed to make their offense tougher for defenses to cover, but the Vikings figure to stay pass-heavy, meaning Jefferson's targets won't shrivel up. His per-game Fantasy totals have gone up year over year and could potentially continue to rise in his fourth season, making the 24-year-old one of the safest elite picks you could make. No one would fault you if you took Jefferson over Ja'Marr Chase or Christian McCaffrey in a PPR league, but consider a running back over Jefferson if you're picking within the first three spots in half- or non-PPR.
BREAKING NEWS – Jefferson is arguably the best wideout in the league, fresh off a dominant and historic 2022 season.
Let’s make this one easy for everyone; if you want to win your fantasy football league in 2023, you should try and roster Jefferson.
What We Learned Last YearJefferson is arguably the best WR in the NFL. He concluded 2022 as the WR1 overall.He logged nine top-5 weekly finishes, with three other games inside the top 24. Jefferson added five games outside the top 40, probably just to prove he’s human.Jefferson led the Vikings in target share (28.6%), air yards share (38.4%), and weighted opportunity rating (0.67).All those numbers stayed nearly identical after TE T.J. Hockenson arrived via trade vs. before.Among 30 WRs who saw 100+ targets last season, Jefferson ranked third in PFF receiving grade, second in yards per route run (2.62), and first in targets (176) and yards after catch (632).
What to Expect in 2023Jefferson became the youngest player in NFL history to lead the league in catches (128) and receiving yards (1,809) in 2022.Since entering the league in 2020, Jefferson ranks third in catches (324), first in receiving yards (4.825), ninth in receiving TDs (25), and second in total PPR points (973.3) among all WRs.Even with the addition of 2023 first-round pick WR Jordan Addison, Jefferson figures to be among the league leaders in every relevant statistical category. The Vikings ranked fifth in pass rate last year and third in pass attempts. We see no reason to expect a 2023 shift in philosophy.
No wide receiver has scored more fantasy points or produced more receiving yardage over the last two seasons than Jefferson. The 2020 first-round pick led all wide receivers in snaps, routes, targets, receptions, yards, fantasy points and top-10 fantasy weeks (nine) last season. Jefferson was fantasy's top-scoring WR despite some bad luck in the TD department (eight TDs, 10.4 expected), and he has ranked top 5 in end zone targets each of the last two seasons. The 24-year-old should be the first wide receiver off the board and is a strong option if you have the first overall pick in your draft.