Justin Herbert
2025 Season Outlooks
Herbert shapes up as one of the best low-risk, high-reward quarterbacks you can grab in Fantasy this year. He averaged 19.5 Fantasy points per game in 2024, but that includes a meek 12.9 in his first four when the Chargers ran the ball a bunch. It was almost as if after the bye the Bolts had the genius idea to let their promising young passer throw more, resulting in more wins, a playoff berth, and per-game averages of 31.8 pass attempts and 21.5 Fantasy points for Herbert. He was even more bombastic in his last three games, all of them wins and two of them blowouts when he averaged 29.6 Fantasy points and 35 pass attempts per game. This offseason the Chargers drafted two rookie wideouts including second-rounder Tre Harris and brought back behemoth veteran receiver Mike Williams. Of course, the Chargers also reconfigured their running back room, so a pivot back toward running the ball is probably part of their plans. Drafting Herbert as a late-round quarterback with a safe 20-point Fantasy expectation makes perfect sense, but knowing he has the upside to throttle into the 25-point-per-game range, especially with an upgraded set of offensive weapons, does give him more appeal than a lot of other late-round passers.
Herbert is entering his sixth NFL season following a solid but unspectacular fantasy campaign in 2024. Playing in Jim Harbaugh's and Greg Roman's slow-paced, balanced offense (as opposed to pass-heavy schemes of prior years), Herbert finished no better than ninth among QBs in pass attempts, pass yards, pass TDs, carries and rush yards. Herbert has now finished just outside the top 10 in fantasy PPG three seasons in a row, though he did improve in the second half of last season (24th during Weeks 1-7, but 10th in Weeks 8-18). Herbert's skill level, solid supporting cast and moderate rushing contributions are just enough to keep him in the fringe QB1 mix, but his ceiling is lower than in years past.
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings
Standard
#120
PPR
#111
Half-PPR
#114
Superflex
#35
2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections
| Pass Yds | Pass TD | Pass Int | Rush Yds | Rush TD | 3924.5 | 25.8 | 7.6 | 275.3 | 2.2 |
|---|
2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)
Standard
#116
Pick 10.08
PPR
#117
Pick 10.09
Half-PPR
#109
Pick 10.01
Superflex
#40
Pick 4.04
Strength of Schedule
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