Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

QB - CIN
Height: 6-4
Weight: 216 lbs
Age: 26
College: LSU
Cincinnati Bengals

2022 Season Outlooks

Burrow is a start-worthy Fantasy quarterback, but not a guaranteed top-five choice. It's true that he finished top 10 among Fantasy quarterbacks in both points per game (23.1) and consistency (10 of 16 games with at least 22-plus Fantasy points). But he also averaged 20.1 Fantasy points per game until Week 16, when he went on a two-game, 88-point tear to help the Bengals win the AFC North (and help people win their Fantasy leagues). Logic would suggest the Bengals will further trust Burrow and have him pass more this year, especially after upgrading their offensive line this offseason, but that's not promised. Remember, the Bengals made a four-game Super Bowl run with one 300-yard outing and two two-score efforts from Burrow. There's no ignoring his upside, but taking that in with a grain of salt and remembering his first-place schedule -- including six tough division games -- should keep him from being drafted too soon. If you're playing it safe, don't draft Burrow unless at least six other quarterbacks are off the board.
There’s regression potential in Burrow’s 6.5% TD rate from last year, as well as his league-leading 70.4% completion rate and 8.9 yards per pass attempt. But we could also see the Bengals increase their passing volume. And we could very well see more of the sharper Burrow that we got over the 2nd half of last year. Now more than a year removed from a double-ligament tear in his left knee, Burrow has the skills, draft pedigree and surrounding talent to settle in among the league’s perennial top passing producers. The biggest issue with valuing him in fantasy is that you likely won’t get a discount. As of this writing, he sits 7th among QBs in FFPC best-ball ADP, which seems fair.
Burrow was fantasy's No. 8 QB during a breakout 2021 season in which he paced the league in both completion percentage (70%) and yards per attempt (8.9). His weekly splits are a bit alarming, as he did most of his damage in three games (two against a beat-up Baltimore team). Burrow scored 32% of his fantasy points in those three games, which marked his only weekly finishes better than eighth for the season. That's a concern, but he has the benefit of arguably the league's best WR room, and an overhauled offensive line will help his cause after he took a league-high 51 sacks in 2021. Burrow's ceiling is a bit capped by limited rushing contributions (40-118-2 rushing line in 2021), but his elite passing production keeps him in the QB1 mix.
Joe Burrow recorded a QB1 season, finishing 10th at 20.52 points per game. A feat considering he brought no threat to rush following his ACL injury that ended his 2020 season after ten games. He shined when the spotlight was the brightest; with 25.31 points per game from weeks 13 to 17, he led all quarterbacks during the fantasy playoffs. The primary question around the offense will be a potential return to more balance from early in the season or if a permanent shift has happened to make this into the league's heaviest in attempts. The Bengals only finished 20th in pass attempts yet were seventh in total passing yards. Keeping that efficiency on increased volume raises intriguing questions on the ceiling in this offense.

2022 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#76

PPR

#77

Half-PPR

#62

Superflex

#17

2022 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Pass Yds Pass TD Pass Int Rush Yds Rush TD
4565.0 32.1 12.6 162.4 2.0

2022 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#59

Pick 5.11

PPR

#57

Pick 5.09

Half-PPR

#54

Pick 5.06

Superflex

#12

Pick 1.12

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
High

Depth Chart

Strength of Schedule

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