Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow

WR - LV
Height: 5-10
Weight: 185 lbs
Age: 28
College: Clemson
Las Vegas Raiders

2023 Season Outlooks

Renfrow saw 16 targets in his first two games last year, but he battled injuries the rest of the way and only saw more than four targets in a game twice from Week 3 on. He has added competition with the arrival of Jakobi Meyers, which is why we wouldn't draft him before Round 15 in any league. As long as Davante Adams remains on the roster, it is hard to see enough targets for both Meyers and Renfrow to be Fantasy relevant, and it's quite possible neither will be. Adams was the only player on the roster to average more than 44 receiving yards per game in 2022. Barring an injury, Renfrow's best path to Fantasy success may be on a different roster.

After a WR10 PPR finish in 2021, Renfrow bombed last year in new HC Josh McDaniels’ offense alongside target hog Davante Adams. He missed seven games and ranked outside the top 60 WRs across fantasy formats in the other 10.

McDaniels and Adams are back this season. And the Raiders added Jakobi Meyers, who figures to serve as the #2 WR.

There’s no reason to get excited about Renfrow in 2023 fantasy drafts.

What We Learned Last YearRenfrow totaled just 36 catches for 330 yards and two TDs in 10 games last year.He missed two games with a concussion and another five with an oblique injury.His scoring averages in his 10 games ranked 69th among WRs in PPR points and 84th in non-PPR.Renfrow scored as a top-36 PPR WR in just one of his 10 games and cracked the top-24 just once.The production was way down from his 103-1,038-9 line and WR10 PPR finish in 2021.Renfrow’s efficiency sunk:.Catch rate - 80.5% to 72.0%Yards per catch - 10.1 to 9.2Yards per target - 8.1 to 6.6Yards per route - 1.87 to 1.13But the bigger problem was his volume plummeting. Renfrow went from 7.5 targets per game on a 20.4% share in 2021 to 5.0 targets per game on a 14.5% share last year.
What to Expect in 2023Don’t bank on the volume bouncing back much, if at all, this season.The Raiders lost 191 total targets (32.6%) from last year with the departures of WR Mack Hollins, TE Darren Waller, and TE Foster Moreau.But WR Davante Adams, who hogged 30.7% of last year’s targets, is back. And Vegas added TEs Michael Mayer and Austin Hooper and WR Jakobi Meyers.Meyers looks like Renfrow’s biggest roadblock. The former Patriot spent his first three NFL seasons with current Vegas HC Josh McDaniels in New England. He got a three-year, $33 million deal from the Raiders, which means they expect him to play a big role. And, like Renfrow, Meyers spends a lot of time in the slot. He ran 65% of his routes with the Patriots from the slot. Renfrow's career slot rate sits at 70%. That spiked to 86% last year.The Raiders swapped out QB Derek Carr for QB Jimmy Garoppolo this offseason. That looks like a lateral move at best. Garoppolo beats Carr in career completion rate and yards per attempt, but he’s spent most of his time in Kyle Shanahan’s QB-friendly offense. Carr beat Garoppolo in Pro Football Focus passing grade in four straight seasons from 2018-2021 – although Garoppolo edged Carr last year.

Renfrow was one of the top breakout players in fantasy back in 2021 (103-1,038-9 receiving line and a 10th-place finish in fantasy points), but the veteran slot man crashed back to earth during an injury-plagued 2022 season. Renfrow was sidelined for seven games, and his lone top-25 fantasy outing came in Week 18. Now back to full health, the 27-year-old is a candidate to get back on track with conservative QB Jimmy Garoppolo under center, but he has more competition for work with Jakobi Meyers joining a WR room that also includes target-hog Davante Adams. Renfrow's short-area role (career 6.6 aDOT) limits his upside, and he has a tough road to consistent flex numbers. He's only worth a bench spot in PPR formats.

2023 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#200

PPR

#180

Half-PPR

#190

Superflex

#227

2023 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Rush Yds Rush TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
54.9 540.8 3.1

2023 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#206

Pick 18.02

PPR

#208

Pick 18.04

Half-PPR

#213

Pick 18.09

Superflex

#233

Pick 20.05

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
Medium

Depth Chart

Strength of Schedule

Average/Easy Season Ahead
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
14
Fantasy Playoffs
15
16
17
18

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