A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown

WR - PHI
Height: 6-1
Weight: 226 lbs
Age: 26
College: Mississippi
Philadelphia Eagles

2023 Season Outlooks

Brown delivered a WR5 finish in his debut season with the Eagles.

At 26, only an injury could derail another WR1 season. He’s in play as an early-to-mid Round 2 pick across formats.

What We Learned Last YearThe Eagles acquired Brown from Tennessee for the 18th and 101st overall picks.Brown then signed a four-year deal with $57 million guaranteed.His connection with QB Jalen Hurts, who took another step forward, showed up immediately. Brown finished as a top-15 PPR WR eight times in 2022. He ranked top-5 three times.Overall, he ranked as the WR5, his best career finish.He set career highs in catches (88) and yards (1,496). He tied a career high with 11 TDs, boosted by the league’s second-highest red-zone target share (34%).He handled a personal-best 145 targets. Only eight WRs saw more.Brown ranked third league wide in percentage of team air yards (41.3%). He dominated on deep balls with a near-perfect 99.9 Pro Football Focus deep receiving grade.AJB was strong after the catch, too. He ranked fifth at the position in yards after catch per reception (6.6).Despite a history of knee trouble, Brown played all 17 games and reached 1,000 snaps for the first time in his career.
What to Expect in 2023Only 26, Brown’s squarely in his prime.The nucleus of this offense – QB Jalen Hurts, WR DeVonta Smith, TE Dallas Goedert, and a stout O-line – remains intact. The backfield lost RB Miles Sanders but looks deeper with the arrivals of Rashaad Penny and receiving back D’Andre Swift.Philly RBs combined for a 12% target share in 2022. That’ll likely increase in 2023, but don’t expect Brown’s workload to suffer.OC Shane Steichen left to take the Colts’ HC job. We largely expect the same offense under QBs coach-turned-OC Brian Johnson.Per The Athletic, The Eagles had halftime leads in 16 of 20 games last season.Philly held double-digit halftime leads in 11 games. They averaged 18.9 pass attempts in the first half of games; 12.3 pass attempts in the second half. A tougher schedule should find more passing for Philly and Hurts, who’s entering only Year 3 as the starter. This defense likely takes a step back after posting a whopping 70 sacks. It’s another reason to believe Hurts’ volume – only ~30 passes per game in 2022 – improves.

Brown was traded to the Eagles during the 2022 draft and his first season with the team could not have gone much better. The former Titan posted career-high marks in target share (28%), targets, receptions, receiving yards, end zone targets (11) and fantasy points. He also matched a career-high with 11 TDs, which ranked second among WRs. Brown has always been a target monster (top 8 in target share each of the last three seasons) and continues to post elite efficiency (he ranked no lower than fourth among WRs in yards per target, YPRR and RAC last season). The 26-year-old is sharing No. 1 WR duties with DeVonta Smith, but the Eagles' offense can certainly support two top-10 fantasy receivers again this season.

2023 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#13

PPR

#14

Half-PPR

#12

Superflex

#21

2023 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Rush Yds Rush TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
78.5 1230.2 9.2

2023 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#14

Pick 2.02

PPR

#13

Pick 2.01

Half-PPR

#12

Pick 1.12

Superflex

#22

Pick 2.10

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
High

Depth Chart

Strength of Schedule

Easy Season Ahead
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Fantasy Playoffs
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