Lamar Jackson
2025 Season Outlooks
Jackson was the No. 1 QB in Fantasy last year and arguably should have won his third MVP. Heading into 2025 we view him as one of a trio of QBs who are worthy to be selected as the first QB off the board, as early as No. 1 overall in Superflex and Round 3 in one-QB leagues. Expect his passing totals to regress in 2025 as he is coming off a season when he averaged 8.8 yards per pass attempt, a full yard better than his career average, and an 8.6% touchdown rate, more than two points higher than his career rate. But he was three Fantasy points per game better than any other QB last year, so he could regress and still be QB1 overall. Traditionally, Jackson is worth more in leagues that reward four points per pass touchdown, but that wasn't the case last year when he led the NFL in passing touchdowns.
The reigning fantasy QB1, Jackson outscored QB2 Josh Allen by a hefty 51.3 points in 2024. He remained his usual elite self as a rusher (he's finished first or second among QBs in rushing yards all seven seasons), but also made a huge leap as a passer (career highs in pass attempts, completions, yards and TDs, as well as a career-low four INTs and a league-high 8.8 YPA). The only "knock" on Jackson that is relative to other top fantasy QBs is rushing TDs (he has 14 total over the last four seasons and had zero carries inside the opponent's 5-yard line last season), but he does more than enough otherwise to provide elite fantasy output. With an almost-identical supporting cast to 2024, we should expect more of the same from the 28-year-old this season.
Jackson has the best fantasy season in terms of points per game over the last six years at 28.1 in 2019. There is a tie for the second-best season, which includes Jackson's last season at 25.6.
He threw a touchdown on 8.6% of his passes last year. Since 1970, there have been only three cases of a quarterback achieving a touchdown rate of 7% or better in back-to-back seasons. In all three cases, the second season was below 8%.
Jackson set a career low in rushing attempts per game last season (8.2; 7.5 excluding kneel-downs). Typically, that rate continues to decline with age.
2025 Fantasy Football Rankings
Standard
#23
PPR
#27
Half-PPR
#24
Superflex
#1
2025 Fantasy Football Draft Projections
| Pass Yds | Pass TD | Pass Int | Rush Yds | Rush TD | 3833.2 | 30.6 | 7.7 | 868.3 | 3.8 |
|---|
2025 Average Draft Position (ADP)
Standard
#24
Pick 2.12
PPR
#25
Pick 3.01
Half-PPR
#24
Pick 2.12
Superflex
#1
Pick 1.01
Strength of Schedule
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