Tonyan entered last season as the poster boy for regression to the mean, and boy did he take that to heart. One season after posting a 52-586-11 receiving line in 16 games, Tonyan plummeted to 18-204-2 in eight games prior to suffering a torn ACL. Tonyan's huge dip in scoring is obvious, but his catch rate (88% to 62%) and YPT (9.9 to 7.0) also crashed back to earth. His targets were almost identical during the two seasons (3.7 in 2020, 3.6 in 2021) and so, even with Davante Adams gone, it's hard to expect much of an increase this season. The 28-year-old will have some touchdown upside as long as Aaron Rodgers is his quarterback, but he's best viewed as a mid-to-back-end TE2.
Robert Tonyan had a breakout 2020 campaign bolstered by a predictably unsustainable touchdown rate. He had 11 touchdowns on just 59 targets. Many expected his usage to increase in 2021, but he averaged exactly 3.6 targets per game, same as 2020. And as expected, his touchdown rate also dropped dramatically before he eventually ended his season early with a torn ACL. Josiah Deguara and Marcades Lewis took over the tight end duties in a timeshare, but neither were fantasy relevant. There's a chance than Tonyan bounces back from the injury this year and sees additional usage, but he's most likely relegated to his role seeing between three and four targets per game, pushing him far outside of TE1 territory.