Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan

TE - GB
Height: 6-5
Weight: 237 lbs
Age: 27
College: Indiana State
Green Bay Packers

2021 Season Outlooks

After his monster breakout in 2020, Robert Tonyan is best viewed as a borderline top-12 tight end who should be drafted early in the double-digit rounds. Because Tonyan's production was so touchdown-dependent, he projects to be more valuable in leagues where catches do not count. Tonyan scored 11 times on 59 targets last year, which is an absurd rate you should not expect him to repeat. The hope is that Tonyan's target share would grow, but he didn't trend that way at the end of 2020, with just 15 targets in his final five games including the playoffs. It's not uncommon for an Aaron Rodgers target to be highly efficient, but you'll likely be better off if you bet against Tonyan delivering starter-worthy production on a consistent basis.
: Tonyan got very lucky in the TD department last year and also isn’t likely to repeat his astronomical catch rate (88.1%). Even if Aaron Rodgers returns, this guy is due for a dip in fantasy production. The good news if you’re hoping to draft Tonyan: Everyone knows it. He’s going just 13th among TEs in current FFPC drafting. Even that sits him a couple of spots higher than our PPR ranking, but it’s an acceptable range for considering Tonyan. He’ll be heading into just his 2nd year as a starter (albeit at age 27).  
Tonyan enjoyed a breakout season in 2020, posting a 52-586-11 receiving line on the way to finishing as fantasy's No. 4-scoring TE. He's 2021's "regression to the mean" Poster Boy, however, as his 59 targets tied for fewest by a top-12 fantasy TE over the past 12 seasons. Tonyan also paced TEs with an 88% catch rate and 18.6% TD rate, both of which aren't close to sustainable. Incredibly, Tonyan averaged 3.7 targets per game and failed to see more than six in a single game. With his rate stats bound to regress (some significantly), his volume will need to increase in 2021. The 27-year-old should be viewed as a TD-dependent, back-end TE1 who could easily fall back to TE2 territory.
After catching a touchdown in the 2019 NFC Championship game, all eyes were on Jace Sternberger to take over as the Packers' lead tight end. Sternberger saw a total of 15 targets on the year, while Robert Tonyan emerged to lead the corps with 59. Not only did Tonyan see a healthy share of targets, but he caught 52 of them and scored 11 times, tying Travis Kelce for the team lead. Tonyan is just 26 years old and will be on many fantasy manager's radars heading into 2021 drafts. While his season was heavily weighed by a seemingly unsustainable touchdown rate, he finished as the TE3 in all formats and has a lot of appealing measurements. After going undrafted, the Packers signed the Indiana State product prior to the 2018 season. Through his first two years, he only saw 21 targets. But after spending the 2020 offseason working out with George Kittle, he came into the year looking like a completely different player. Expect Tonyan to shoulder the heavy lifting, with Sternberger playing a backup role and Lewis getting some situational snaps.

2021 Fantasy Football Rankings

Standard

#82

PPR

#88

Half-PPR

#89

Superflex

#98

2021 Fantasy Football Draft Projections

Rush Yds Rush TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
55.3 609.5 7.0

2021 Average Draft Position (ADP)

Standard

#83

Pick 7.11

PPR

#95

Pick 8.11

Half-PPR

#90

Pick 8.06

Superflex

#99

Pick 9.03

Injury Risk

Injury Risk:
Medium

Depth Chart

Strength of Schedule

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