Week 11 Start/Sit Advice
Wednesday, Nov 16, 2022 at 9:07 pm ET
This is the Fantasy Nerd's look at the best and worst matchups for Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season. Analysis is aggregated from multiple sources including FN. Rankings are based upon PPR (point per reception) scoring. Given the known conditions, these matchups are the ones to watch and/or avoid.
Please Note: This list does not generally include the elite players that you are going to start regardless of matchup. You don't need us to tell you to start Christian McCaffrey, Travis Kelce, or Stefon Diggs. Instead, we take a look at other players on your team that we believe either have great matchups or should be avoided for multiple reasons. Factors like opposing defense, performance trending, and peer comparisons may influence our decisions.
Start 'em Justin Fields (CHI, QB)
For those of us who remember what it was like when Michael Vick first appeared on the scene, the recent performances from Justin Fields is a bit deja vu for us. He seems unstoppable when running and his passing game is improving. The Falcons have not allowed a QB to rush for more than 20 yards this season. Fields will break that this week.
11th Most Pts to QB
Start 'em Daniel Jones (NYG, QB)
Jones was efficient last week and can be started once again this week. The Lions give up more fantasy points to QBs this year than any other team. In fact, Detroit ranks near the bottom in virtually every statistical metric. Jones is primed to be a low-end QB1 in this game.
Most pts to QB
Start 'em Russell Wilson (DEN, QB)
When Russ faced the Raiders back in Week 4, he put up a season-high 27.5 fantasy points. That doesn't mean that he's poised to repeat that same performance, but if you need a QB for Week 11, the potential for a good game is decent enough to consider plugging him into your lineup.
3rd Most Pts to QB
Start 'em Rhamondre Stevenson (NE, RB)
As many analysts predicted back in August, Rhamondre Stevenson has become the all-purpose back that the Patriots were going to elevate. He's been very efficient over his last five games, and while the Jets present a decent matchup, he owned them in Week 8 where he delivered a nice 21.3 fantasy point day. Stevenson could flirt with RB1 status this week.
13th Fewest Pts to RB
Start 'em David Montgomery (CHI, RB)
Montgomery owners were disappointed to see Khalil Herbert finally take more snaps than Montgomery last week portending a future position battle, but for now, Herbert is on I.R. and Montgomery should be the focal point of the rush game. He'll lose touches to Fields of course, but there should be plenty of opportunity against the Falcons to return to RB2 status.
12th Most Pts to RB
Start 'em Brian Robinson (WAS, RB)
Watching Brian Robinson play is a treat. His legs never stop and he's able to turn short yardage into meaningful chain moves. Coming off a career high in touches, Robinson will continue to share duties with Antonio Gibson, but there should be plenty of fantasy goodness to go around in this one. Nobody gives up more points than the Texans including multiple 30+ point games this season.
Most pts to RB
Start 'em Tee Higgins (CIN, WR)
We all probably thought we'd see more out of Tee Higgins without Ja'Marr Chase in the mix, but he's been quietly delivering at least 13 fantasy points during that time. He should be able to build on that this week against the Steelers who are giving up the second-most fantasy points to receivers this season including multiple big games.
2nd Most Pts to WR
Start 'em Courtland Sutton (DEN, WR)
With 11 targets last week, Courtland Sutton tied his season high total. While it didn't lead to a big fantasy day, the volume is encouraging and he's one play away from a big day. With an ailing Jerry Jeudy, Sutton should continue to command the target share. He had his only visit to the endzone against the Raiders this season and could be up for a repeat in Week 11.
11th Most Pts to WR
Start 'em Allen Robinson (LAR, WR)
In theory, the injury to Cooper Kupp should result in some additional targets for Allen Robinson. Now, whether or not that materializes remains to be seen, but someone has to step up here and we like Robinson's talent and potential over Van Jefferson. It's not a great matchup, but if you need a solid flex option, ARob is a good pick.
16th Fewest Pts to WR
Start 'em Greg Dulcich (DEN, TE)
Greg Dulcich put up a stinker last week hauling in just one of his four targets. It's the first time he hasn't put up double-digit production in his short career. It would have been better but he was just overthrown on what could have been a touchdown score. Still, we wouldn't bench him just yet. There's going to be up and down games for him, and we anticipate him returning to fantasy relevance against the Raiders who rank in the Top 10 for most points allowed to the TE position.
6th Most Pts to TE
Start 'em Cole Kmet (CHI, TE)
With back to back games of at least 22 fantasy points, Cole Kmet finally delivered on the expectations that many of us had before the season. His last two games catapulted him into the Top 12 TEs on the season. The Falcons present a decent matchup, but if he can still see at least 6 or 7 targets in this one, he should be able to produce for your team.
13th Most Pts to TE
Start 'em Philadelphia Eagles (PHI, DEF)
The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season on Monday night so they'll be motivated for this one. While Jonathan Taylor will present them a challenge, this defense is solid enough to contain the Colts. Expect lots of pressure on Matt Ryan.
2nd Most Pts to DEF
Start 'em Cairo Santos (CHI, K)
The Bears offense has started to come alive and that affects Cairo Santos. Typically he has been making field goals, but over the last three games, he's only kicked one in each game. With an O/U of 50, there should be plenty of points to go around in this one. The Falcons rank in the top third for most points allowed.
9th Most Pts to K
Sit 'em Derek Carr (LV, QB)
Even with stud WR Davante Adams, Derek Carr has only put up one game this season with 300 yards passing. When he faced the Broncos back in Week 4, he put up just 188 yards and delivered a disappointing 11.5 fantasy points to fantasy owners. Nobody is giving up less fantasy points to QBs than Denver making Carr a Sit for us.
Feweset Pts to QB
Sit 'em Kenny Pickett (PIT, QB)
It's tough to be a rookie trying to fill some big shoes in Pittsburgh. While we see flashes of potential, this week we anticipate Kenny Pickett to struggle against the Bengals. Cincy gives up the 4th-fewest fantasy points to the position. They held Lamar Jackson to less than 15 points. That may be Pickett's ceiling in this one.
4th Fewest Pts to QB
Sit 'em Matt Ryan (IND, QB)
It was nice to see Matt Ryan back under center last week and it worked out well for the Colts, but Week 11 brings a tough matchup with the Eagles. Philly has owned QBs all season giving up the second fewest fantasy points to them. Ryan enters this one with a 10:9 TD:INT ratio and we're expecting at least a pick or two in this one.
2nd Fewest Pts to QB
Sit 'em Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC, RB)
The matchup is fantastic, but Clyde Edwards-Helaire won't likely be able to take advantage of it. He's no longer a focal point for this offense in the rush game and hasn't delivered double digit fantasy points in almost two months. It's a shame that even in a plus matchup, CEH can't be counted on to deliver.
2nd Most Pts to RB
Sit 'em James Robinson (NYJ, RB)
James Robinson continues to share the backfield with Michael Carter diluting both of their values, but neither is an exciting option against the Patriots this week who are surrendering the second fewest fantasy points to the position. When he faced them back in Week 8, he delivered just 1.7 points.
2nd Fewest Pts to RB
Sit 'em Cam Akers (LAR, RB)
What role will Cam Akers play on this team going forward? Your guess is as good as anyone else's. He's had just 11 carries over his last four games. The offensive line leaves a lot to be desired and Darrell Henderson has taken the lead role. Cam Akers shouldn't be in fantasy lineups now...or perhaps at all moving forward.
11th Fewest Pts to RB
Sit 'em Kadarius Toney (KC, WR)
Kadarius Toney scored his first touchdown as a Chief last week, but it was not because of his dynamic play making ability. He was left wide open on the right side of the field and hopped his way into the endzone. That doesn't mean that he doesn't have talent or potential, but keep your expectations in check. He's seen just seven targets combined over his last two games and hasn't yet carved out his role. Perhaps that changes this week with Hardman and Smith-Schuster out. If you have a flex spot open, Toney can plug that hole, but we'd like to see more involvement before bumping him up into a regular starting role.
13th Fewest Pts to WR
Sit 'em Chase Claypool (CHI, WR)
On a low-passing offense, it's difficult to predict if/when Chase Claypool finally emerges here. Many thought his role would increase, but he saw just two targets last week after seeing six the week prior. There's simply too much volatility and few opportunities to really deliver for fantasy owners...even in a positive matchup. Claypool is only viable in deeper leagues at this point.
Most pts to WR
Sit 'em Donovan Peoples-Jones (CLE, WR)
Donovan Peoples-Jones delivered last week hauling in five catches for 99 yards. He'll still be the WR to own in this offense, but a matchup with the Bills isn't exciting and limits his potential this week. Of course, if the game script changes and becomes a shootout, DPJ could still be a flex option with points flying. It depends upon your tolerance for risk.
14th Fewest Pts to WR
Sit 'em Isaiah Likely (BAL, TE)
Isaiah Likely was a popular pickup and had fantasy owners rejoicing as he found the endzone in back-to-back weeks. This is not about his ability or talent, but rather because Mark Andrews should return this week. When Andrews suits up, Likely sees just over two targets per game - not enough volume to be in TE1 discussions.
12th Fewest Pts to TE
Sit 'em David Njoku (CLE, TE)
David Njoku has been sidelined for the past few weeks, but at this time, it looks like he may be able to suit up. If he does, he carries additional risk with his ankle. The matchup is not great either. Buffalo has been very tough on tight ends this season. The only TE that they have been unable to stop has been Travis Kelce. An injured Njoku doesn't quite fit that mold, yet he has the talent to produce. Just control your expectations.
9th Fewest Pts to TE
Sit 'em Minnesota Vikings (MIN, DEF)
The Vikings defensive unit played well against the Bills putting pressure on Josh Allen. If they can deploy the same playbook against the Cowboys, they stand a chance at trying to contain them, but Dallas is not going to be easy. On the season, they're giving up the third fewest fantasy points to DSTs on the season.
3rd Fewest Pts to DEF
Sit 'em Matt Prater (ARI, K)
After being a scratch last week, it's probably best to leave Prater on the bench this week. Not only is it a tough matchup (San Francisco gives up the second fewest fantasy points) but Prater has only one game with double digit production all year. The Niners have not allowed any kicker to score double digits all year.
2nd Fewest Pts to K
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Norm Hjelm CommentedNov 19, 2022 1:32 pm
Half PPR need to start one of these WRs:
Nerd CommentedNov 20, 2022 9:23 am
Great problem to have. For me, it's Olave -> Sutton -> Williams -> London
jamisdiablo CommentedNov 20, 2022 12:16 pm
agree with nerd here..
jamisdiablo CommentedNov 20, 2022 12:18 pm
start zeke or pollard? or maybe even both and sit KAllen? ppr, and i also still have palmer if thats a better back up for allen in your opinion…? thanks!
Nerd CommentedNov 20, 2022 12:42 pm
I feel like I'd still start Pollard over Zeke. I'm optimistic about Allen but that could easily go either way. Seems weird to say, but playing both Cowboys could be the safer play.
mrock CommentedNov 20, 2022 5:36 pm
Good call on the boys
jamisdiablo CommentedNov 21, 2022 10:59 am
Played Pollard and KAllen, as long as dhop doesn't get 25 tonight in a ppr I win... thanks Nerds as always! Solid advice! My season may still be alive! Woot!
Nerd CommentedNov 21, 2022 11:25 am
My fingers are crossed! Let's do this!