Bryce Miller

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.Another day, another jam-packed slate of MLB games. Let's take a closer look at a few of my preferred ways to attack it.Reese Olson: Over 17.5 outsOlson is pitching extremely well this season. He's allowed two runs or fewer in six of seven starts, including five straight. Those are impressive numbers considering he's faced the Rangers, Yankees, and Twins in that span.Although he's been a mixed bag in terms of going over his total, Olson is averaging 17 outs this season. He's routinely flirting with this number despite a very stiff opposing schedule.Tuesday looks like a great spot for Olson to give the Tigers some length. The Marlins sit 27th in runs per game and 29th in OBP. They don't get on base, nor do they hit for power.Olson's averaged 20 outs per contest when pitching at home this season. I wouldn't be surprised if he hovers around that number again versus one of the league's worst offenses.Odds: -110 (playable to -130)Logan Gilbert: Under 1.5 walksGilbert's walk total has been one of my favorite props to target for the better part of two years. He has great control of the strike zone and rarely hands out free passes. In fact, he's only walked multiple batters in 10 of his past 30 starts.He walked two batters or more in back-to-back games only once in that span, which just so happens to be over his last two starts.The Royals should afford Gilbert a great opportunity to get back on track. They've walked in only 5.8% of their at-bats against right-handed pitchers this month. That's the second-lowest rate in the majors, ranking them ahead of only the lowly White Sox.Kansas City has a swing-first approach at the dish and owns the third-highest contact rate against righties in May.Given how effective Gilbert is at keeping the ball in the zone, and the Royals' tendency to swing, he should be able to regain his control in this one.Odds: -130 (playable to -145)JP Sears: Under 17.5 outs The Astros appear to be turning a corner - at least offensively. They posted a .324 OBP in May (sixth highest) while striking out only 17.4% of the time. That's the lowest mark in the league.Their numbers are even more impressive considering the caliber of pitchers they've faced this month. Houston has faced Gilbert, George Kirby, Bryce Miller, Tarik Skubal, Jack Flaherty, and Carlos Rod n, among others, over the past two weeks alone.I think Sears will have trouble slowing the Astros down. He's sporting a concerning .369 xwOBA versus righties over his past four starts, and Houston is expected to have six of them in its lineup. The Astros also feature left-handed monsters like Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker. Whether Sears' splits are better against lefties or not, he'll have a tough time with those stars.Sears has gone under this number in 18 of his past 30 starts. With the Athletics' bullpen in pretty good shape, I don't see Sears completing six innings in this one.Odds: -115 (playable to -130)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

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Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.Success continues to come on the diamond as we ended last week on a 6-0 run with our best bets.Here are Monday's plays:Braves (-150) @ Mariners (+130)Max Fried started his season in the worst fashion imaginable. He gave up three runs in less than an inning in his debut and followed that up by allowing seven against the Diamondbacks.He's pitched excellently since that point, allowing four runs over 20 1/3 innings across three starts.Fried owns a sparkling .255 xwOBA in that span, inducing grounders at a near 70% clip. He's giving up little quality contact and keeping almost everything on the ground.The Mariners' offense doesn't appear ready to cause Fried problems. Seattle's hitting .202 vs. left-handed pitchers in April and is keeping company with the Athletics, Rockies, and White Sox in terms of xwOBA. Not ideal.Meanwhile, the Braves should be able to cause Bryce Miller problems. He's sporting a .376 xwOBA over his past three starts but survived due to an unsustainably low .135 batting average on balls in play. That number's likely to increase, especially given the quality of contact Miller's allowing right now.The Braves lead the majors in batting average against righties this month while the Mariners are struggling mightily against lefties. Given the two starters' trajectory and the offensive splits, the Braves should take care of business.Bet: Braves (-150)Clarke Schmidt: Under 16.5 outsSchmidt's not someone the Yankees rely on to pitch deep into games. He doesn't give the team a ton of length, even when he's performing at a high level. He's gone under this total in 23 of his last 30 starts dating back to last season.That includes a 0-5 start to this campaign, which is especially troubling when you consider he already faced the 9-19 Astros and two of the American League's three lowest-scoring offenses.I have a hard time believing Schmidt will flip the switch against the Orioles, who rank third in xwOBA vs. right-handed pitchers this season and are tied for first in homers.Baltimore's powerhouse offense routinely chases pitchers early. Only two of the past 13 righties they faced completed six innings.Including last season's data, Schmidt's fared much worse against lefties than righties, which isn't ideal heading into this matchup. Lefties Gunnar Henderson, Ryan O'Hearn, Cedric Mullins, and a pair of dangerous switch-hitters in Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander mean Schmidt's looking at a relatively early exit.Odds: -140 (playable to -160)Grayson Rodriguez: Under 16.5 outsRodriguez is a dynamic talent but he's yet to consistently show the ability to pitch deep into games. He completed six innings in only 10 of 29 MLB starts, which equates to a 34% success rate.He's done so in three of five games this season, but the schedule's been soft: Rodriguez faced the Angels twice, along with the Pirates, Twins, and Red Sox. The Angels are 10-18, the Pirates are a bottom-10 offense, and the Twins are dealing with injuries to multiple key bats. The Red Sox are the only above-average offense Rodriguez has seen.I think he's going to have a tough time flirting with six innings against the Yankees, who sit tied with the Orioles for most homers vs. right-handed pitching. New York also leads the league in walk rate. Its offense is very disciplined, and can win with patience, power, or by hitting for average.The Yankees tend to make every at-bat a grind, leading to high pitch counts, and making it extremely difficult for opposing starters to work deep into games.Odds: -115 (playable to -130)Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.Copyright © 2024 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.