We split our two MLB picks on Monday and would have swept the board if not for a meaningless home run in the ninth to foil our Dodgers run line play. We'll try to pull off the perfecto with Tuesday's best bets:Reds (+140) @ Guardians, 6:10 p.m. ETIt feels a bit gross picking the Reds to win a game against any opponent after their abhorrent start to the season. But this group has quietly won six of its last 10 games, and it's well-positioned to keep that going in Tuesday's tilt against the Guardians.Cleveland starter Zach Plesac has long struggled with giving up hard contact, but it's catching up to him in a big way over his last few starts. The 27-year-old righty has surrendered 17 runs (14 earned) over his last three starts, and he was tagged with seven hits in each of his previous two games as well.Conversely, Reds starter Connor Overton has been among the few bright spots for this club, pitching into the sixth inning or further in each of his three starts while allowing just three combined runs in that stretch. At this price, I like his chances of leading his team to its third win in his four starts.Marlins -1.5 (+120) vs. Nationals, 6:40 p.m.On Monday, we loved the Nationals' team total under three runs versus the Marlins after the team's offense had run cold in recent weeks. This time, we're banking on an entire team collapse with erratic rookie Joan Adon on the mound.Through seven starts, Adon leads the majors in walks (23) and wild pitches (six), and he's surrendered at least three runs in six of his seven starts - all lasting no more than five innings. After his most recent loss to the Mets, when he walked five batters in 3 2/3 frames, he said he "just couldn't find the zone" and couldn't explain why.It's no wonder the young Nationals starter leads MLB in losses (six), though Washington's cold stretch at the plate certainly doesn't help. With Nelson Cruz (illness) still uncertain to play in this one, all the signs are pointing toward another big Marlins win.Athletics F5 over 1.5 runs (-115) vs. Twins, 9:40 p.m.I'm still a long-term believer in Dylan Bundy, who has struggled to recapture the magic of his electric 2020 campaign in two years since. That said, Tuesday isn't the day to bet on a return to glory for the Twins' struggling righty.After a strong start to the season, Bundy collapsed over his previous two starts - giving up six runs on seven hits against the Rays before coughing up nine runs to the lowly Orioles in just 3 2/3 innings in his latest outing. Then Bundy tested positive for COVID-19 and has been sidelined for two weeks, and he's expected to have a limited pitch count in his return to the mound on Tuesday.We'll still likely see enough of Bundy for the Athletics to take advantage. While Oakland has plated just one run in three straight games, each of those came in the first four innings, and this team plated four or more runs in four of five games before that. Don't be surprised to see this otherwise subpar lineup tee off in Bundy's return.C Jackson Cowart is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on Twitter (@CJacksonCowart) or email him at [email protected] © 2022 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.
We struck out on our three MLB plays on Monday, but we've got a juicy slate ahead of us Tuesday to raise our metaphorical batting average. Here are our best bets for the day:Padres (-145) @ Guardians, 6:10 p.m. ETWhat better place for Mike Clevinger to make his long-awaited 2022 debut than in the ballpark he called home for four-and-a-half years before the Guardians shipped him to San Diego? The Padres starter hasn't pitched since 2020 while recovering from Tommy John surgery (2021) and a sprained right knee (2022), but he'll have a chance to do some damage against Cleveland, which ranks in the bottom five in hard-hit rate (34.4%) and xwOBAcon (.360).He should have some help at the plate with San Diego facing off against struggling starter Zach Plesac, who was sharp in his first start against the Royals but has fallen apart in three games since. He's allowed seven hits in each of his last three starts with more earned runs allowed (11) than strikeouts (nine), and he's coming off a start in which the Angels tagged him for six runs in just 3 2/3 innings.Such struggles against better competition have been the story of the Guardians' season thus far, as they've posted a combined 10-2 record against teams with losing records and a 0-10 mark against clubs above .500. The Padres (15-8) are firmly in the latter camp should take care of business in this one.White Sox (-140) @ Cubs, 7:40 p.m.After losing 10 of 11 games over a two-week stretch, the White Sox have won two of their last three and nearly stole the third with the bases loaded in the ninth inning. They're in a solid spot to keep that momentum alive against their crosstown rivals.That starts with Michael Kopech, who boasts a 1.42 ERA through four starts after a breakout 2021 campaign. He's been aided by a low BABIP (.200) and hasn't surrendered a home run, and the Cubs aren't likely to change that as they lead the majors in ground ball rate (50.6%).Conversely, the White Sox have absolutely crushed left-handed pitching in recent years, leading the majors in OPS (.803) against lefties since 2020 and ranking second in OPS (.821) and slugging percentage (.479) in 155 plate appearances this year. Good luck to veteran southpaw Drew Smyly, who has allowed a pair of home runs in each of his last two starts for the Cubs.Giants (+120) @ Dodgers, 10:10 p.m.At what point will Carlos Rodon finally get his due as one of baseball's best arms? The 2021 Cy Young finalist has turned it up a notch in his first season with the Giants, pacing the NL in FIP (0.96) and xERA (1.74) while striking out an MLB-best 43.2% of batters he faces. That's Jacob deGrom territory, albeit across a much smaller sample.Despite his torrid start, Rodon finds himself as an underdog for the first time this season and only the fifth time over the last three years. That's a good sign for bettors: The former White Sox righty helped his team to a win in nine of his last 18 underdog spots with a $401 return in that stretch.Given how consistently excellent he's pitched this year - he's allowed three or fewer hits with at least eight punchouts and two or fewer walks in all four starts - he's worth backing against the Dodgers, who have struggled to find any consistency this season. After plating six runs against the Tigers on Sunday, don't bet on a big day at the plate for Los Angeles on Tuesday.C Jackson Cowart is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on Twitter (@CJacksonCowart) or email him at [email protected] © 2022 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.